Investors 411 Blog

by Barr Jozwicki
November 19, 2012

We’re Back

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , ,

.

Because of your emails

Investors411 is back.

.

However, instead of a daily basis

411 will  published two times a month

The focus will be the same

Stocks/economics/politics

.

The comments section,

as always remains open

on a daily basis

.

For Your Patience

.

As many of you know this editor

and many of you spent much

of the last three months

working for the election of

.


Rachel Maddow on

The results

.

—————————

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STOCKS

.

PAUL’S CORNER

.

.

.

I had the great pleasure of attending Ian Woodward’s HGSI Workshop this past October in Palos Verdes California. Lots of great review and always some new material that would as Ian suggests “knock your socks off!” and it did! Ian shares some of the finest market knowledge you can find. Ian produces a great blog and it will keep you on the right side of the market.

IAN’S BLOG

Ron Brown presented some great new searches for finding strong stocks. Ron suggests following stocks with strong consistent accumulation and he gave us the software to find the winners. Ron also gave a great presentation on trading options.  He showed us how to find proper stocks to trade options using the HGSI software. Options are new to me and the information Ron gave will be a great lesson.

Gil Morales, a long time analyst that worked for William O’Neil of Investor’s Business Daily, gave us an excellent presentation on shorting stocks. We came home with Gil’s presentation showing proper chart formations for shorting.

Dr. Jeffrey Scott, a longtime HGSI user, gave a good lesson on creating your own index of stocks to follow that will show when the market is breaking down. As a group we selected 24 strong stocks with great chart patterns. These sorts of stocks usually are fat with profits and will be the first to cash in with a collapsing market. Here is a chart of the index and it shows a break down with the market, but bounced nicely Friday. The leaders are usually the first to bounce up when the market turns up, we’ll keep an eye on this

Chart.


The following chart of Nasdaq Composite clearly shows the warning signs as we headed into this correction. A look at the chart with moving averages is all you need!

Chart

The current MO for the NYSE is -53.92, past history shows we usually bounce from this point, but there is a lot more to the down side that the MO can go. It’s probably too soon to start nibbling.

Watch the comments section if the market turns up I will start posting a


“stocks to watch list”.

.

Even when Barr takes a break from posting, remember we can always post comments and questions to the latest blog post, so don’t go away mad………

Paul

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——————————

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Obviously much of 411′s data  (see links at heading on top) is out of date.

.

Over the Thanksgiving holiday

I’ll try to update

.

There are many significant problems for stocks

including the fiscal cliff, tax selling, Europe, wars, and more

.

But , as Paul points out,

our main tool

reached oversold/buy territory

last Thursday and is now

sitting just above oversold levels

.

So I’m thinking about nibbling on stocks

rather than selling

.

But, I sure understand being hesitant.

The main danger to bulls is unpredictable

fiscal cliff and Mideast war

.

How to use McClellan Oscillator

here

(Scroll down)

.

A Trade

Those of you who know how, my best advice is a put/call combination trade whose options expires in January/February or beyond. This is based on the belief that US markets will move dramatically as fiscal cliff deadline looms. (42 days) Also if there is a solution stocks will move dramatically.

.

___________________

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Long Term Outlook

(3+months)

NEUTRAL.



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August 20, 2012

Dancing Badly

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , ,

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Investors411 is still on

Summer Break

But, we have a Paul’s Corner Below

.

Meanwhile,  50 million have

watched this “Dancing” Video

It brings joy to your life

and the planet a little

closer together

.

.

One minute into the video

it explodes with

how people all across the world

share

joy, happiness, and dance

.

Link Here

for 2008 version

or Use Photo LINK

Thanks to Jim J who found a copy without an add.

.

*********************

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Paul’s Corner

August 2012

.

.

It looks like the market is finally getting ready to go again. We have sat through a correction starting back in April and have seen the Ying Yang of the market for the past few months. Unless you have an iron stomach or were a skilled intraday trader this market hasn’t been safe.

Your Stock List May 2012 has seen most of the stocks correct sharply. Another example that buy and hold isn’t a great strategy these days. So it’s time to put together another list. I recently posted a few suggestions in the comments section:

Comment link A:

Comment link B:

I spent the past few days looking at many of the stocks I stuffed into various watch lists in my HGSI database. I created a list of stocks which look interesting. The following .TXT file lists 100 stocks from my current personal watch list.

Paul’s Top 100:

The following is an Excel file of these stocks with lots of fundie and technical data. This spread sheet sorts these stocks using Ian Woodward’s “Point score”. It’s sorted on the “Raw Combo”, and this basically brings the best stocks (at the moment) to the top of the list.

Paul’s Top 100 Excel File:

Please note many aren’t buyable at the moment but are worth watching for future buy points.

So my friends, you now have a list of interesting stocks to evaluate. I need all of you to make requests/suggestions as to which stocks from this list or your own lists we might add to the next “Your Stock List”. I’m not going to glean the lists any further; it’s up to you folks to participate.

So are we up to the challenge?

Disclaimer: You buy any of the dogs listed on any of these lists, you are a fool! You lose your house, your van, or your show set up from buying these stocks, too bad!

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July 23, 2012

Summer Break

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , ,

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Investors 411 is

on Summer Break

But…

,

.

The POSITIONS Section contains

.

  • The Stock outlook for the 2nd half of 2012
  • A List of recommended dividend Stocks for the longer term
  • Your Stock List [8 of the last 9 YSL's beat the S&P 500]

.

The STRATEGY contains Section contains

how 411 Evaluates Stocks

.

The OVERVIEW Section contains

an Economic and Political outlook

with a List of Resources

.

The Comments Section

is wide open

.

Closing Thought

from Art Buchwald

.

FINIS

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July 15, 2012

Recession/Deficit Solutions

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , ,

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The Greatest Economists of the 20th Century

Agreed that you Stimulate Your way Out of a

Recession

.

.


Solutions to The Deficit

Stimulus or Austerity

(Part 1)

.

The  Outstanding Success of

The Obama Stimulus

.

.

Why Stimulus Works

&

Austerity Doesn’t

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The Obama Stimulus cost $787 billion.

Our national debt is @ $15 trillion.

A 5.2% one time addition to our debt.

.

.

Under Obama & his Stimulus

Job growth went from -800,000 to +300,000

GDP went from -8.9% to +3.9%. = +12.8%

.

Millions of jobs

created millions of taxpayers

& the GDP expanded.

Taxes paid by those with jobs

REDUCE the deficit

year after year after year…

.

Everything was working until

*The Stimulus ran out

*The Austerity/Banksta Republicans

won the House of Representatives

&

*Obama, himself, put more focus on

austerity instead of stimulus

.

.

Republican blocked virtually every

stimulus/jobs growth plan.

&

Had to be dragged kicking and screaming

for even a payroll tax cut

.

********************

.

Let’s see what happens to

the deficit

when Banksta/austerity

gain even more control.

.

.

Examples – Austerity as a Solution

The European countries in economic trouble.

Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, & Spain

.’

.

Ireland’s “free market” economy was

the goal of every Banksta in America.

The Baking Industry had “captured government”

Regulators were no where to be found.

Then Something Hit the Fan

.

.

Ireland was the first country to impose

The Austerity Solution

.

The Deficit

Exploded Higher

.

Ireland Government Debt To GDP

.

Ireland’s unemployment rate exploded

from 4.6% in 2008 to 14.3% today

..

IRELAND with Austerity

A 311% INCREASE in Unemployment

A 433% INCREASE in Debt to GDP

.

In Hard Economic Times

Austerity = More Debt

..

.

More Examples

The Other 4 Troubled European Countries

who have adopted the austerity solution.

All have

Debt to GDP ratios that are still exploding higher

All  have unemployment still exploding higher

For data on these countries see this LINK

.

Next Blog – Common Sense works, Regulated Banking works, When Austerity works, Those plutocrats that don’t give a damn, but say they do – More Solutions.

FINIS


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July 10, 2012

Reaching a Tipping Point?

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,

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Reaching

A Tipping Point

.

.


Why this below comment is so import is its from

Mervyn King,

Governor-Bank of England.

London is the recognized Banking Capital of the world

[It Should be From Ben Bernanke -  Taibbi]

.

“It is time to do something about the

banking system…

It goes to the culture and the structure of banks: the excessive compensation, the shoddy treatment of customers, the deceitful manipulation of a key interest rate, and today, news of yet another mis-selling scandal.”.

.

Banksta

It’s Not just 411 and a few others shouting

Bankster

.

.

Frequent Commenter

JIM J

is the author of this editorial

Many thanks!

.

The TOO BIG TO FAIL BANKS ARE

CORRUPT, FRAGILE, GROWING AND

IN CONSTANT NEED OF BAILOUTS.

.

.

  • JPM received $29 billion basically 0% loan to buy Bear Stearns. UNPRECEDENTED


  • Too Big to fail JPM has/is getting ANOTHER $400 to 500 billion. UNPRECEDENTED


  • Just the too big to fails that have members on the Fed board have received, like JPM, over $4 trillion. UNPRECEDENTED


  • And the Fed continues to shovel it out to the group that almost destroyed the financial structure of the world UNPRECEDENTED


  • A group that makes hidden trades in  financial WMD’s (Warren Buffett term) UNPRECEDENTED

.

  • An opaque casino market that is over leveraged to the tune of $700 trillion dollars UNPRECEDENTED


  • Too big to fail banks that skim profits in High Frequency trades (see Paul of Barr to explain HFT’s) UNPRECEDENTED


  • Too big to fail banks that, like the mafia (Matt Taibbi) rig the bond market UNPRECEDENTED


  • Too big to fail banks that rig 10′s of trillions in LIBOR related loans for decades. UNPRECEDENTED


  • Too big to fail banks like JPM that lost 30% of its value because no one knew how over leveraged the loss was UNPRECEDENTED

,

  • The banks for years get their own opaque accounting system UNPRECEDENTED

.

Do YOU get the same UNPRECEDENTED treatment?

Does YOUR local small Business get

the Same UNPRECEDENTED treatment?

.

Skimming from our Stock Trades, Bonds, Mortgages

Running over leveraged casino gambling with OUR money

Given continuous special bailout by OUR Fed

Owning our Politicians with Their Contributions

.

.

Today’s reads

.

THE LONG CON – How the Too Big to Fails

have been stealing from for decades

.

THE MICE THAT ROARED How cities/towns

are starting to defy Wall Street Bankstas

.

PREDATOR NATION: Corporate Criminals,

Political Corruption, and the Hijacking of America

.

******************

.

STOCKS

.

.

MORE STOCKS IN NEXT 411

For Now

Long Term Outlook

3+ months

Remains Unchanged

.,

NEUTRAL

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS

.

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July 6, 2012

Another Mega Scandal

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

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Another Mega

International Scandal

.

.

Another Major

Preventable Catastrophe

.

Involving collusion between

a corporate cartell and the

politicians/regulators

they own

.

HEADLINE

.

“A scathing Japanese parliamentary report

investigating the circumstances of the

Fukushima Daiichi nuclear-plant disaster

blamed the dangerous incident on

collusion between government agencies

and Japan’s leading energy company”

.

LINK to TIME Magazine story

.

.

Millions of Lives negatively Imacted

Trillions in overall economic costs

.

The technology did not fail,

but just as with the Bankstas

who brought the world to the

edge of economic collapse in 2008

and are still creating the same

too big to fail havoc today

.

Its the GREED of the plutocracy

Skimming all the profits and

punishing us with their disaster

.

Thanks to EW and Popeye [LINK to his comment] for bring this up in the comments section and our thought go out to JSs son who, like Godzilla (see cartoon above) got out of town (Japan) but is back living there.

.

***********************

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STOCKS

.

.

Paul,

who is trying to stay cool

at a very hot art show,

has posted the latest results

of  the current YOUR Stock List

LINK Here

.

YSL +0.26

S&P 500 -2.17

.

*******************

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Long Term Outlook

3+ months

.

NEUTRAL

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS

.


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July 3, 2012

Two Scandals Explode

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,

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International Banking

Scandal Explodes

b

.

Too Big to Fail

Bankstas

Skim YOUR money from

2005 to 2009

Before, During, After 2008

worldwide financial meltdown

.

Massive Furor in UK/Europe

Where’s the Outrage Here?

.

Who owns the politicians

and the media?

.

.

“There’s vast criminality in Wall Street now.


It’s bribery, theft, fraud, bid rigging, price


fixing, gambling, loan sharking. All of these


things, it’s all organized.” - MATT TAIBBI

.

.

Just 1 of the 17

too big to fail

Banksta/Vampire Squids

has settled with

gov’t regulators

[List includes a who's who

of too big to fail US banks]

.

Skimming/profiting from

YOU and World Hunger

.

Today’s Headline

Barclay’s CEO resigns

in disgrace

______

.

We’re all outraged that none

of the plutocracy ever goes to jail

under Obama

.

.

The catastrophic outrage is

Romney and Republicans want to

cut Regulators and Regulations

that are catching bankstas

who steal YOUR money

.

******************

.

Drug Cartel Scandal

Explodes

.

$3 Billion Fine

Biggest Ever

.

.

Glaxo Smith Kline

.

Failure to Report safety problems

Promoted drugs for unapproved uses

Drugs that cause heart failure

Drugs we give our Children

Seven Years of deceit

.

At least, the Amounts of Fines

are increasing

$22+ billion collected

.

.

How much longer are

you

going to remain silent?

.,

Romney and Republicans

are demanding

less regulations, less regulators

and “free markets”

for the Banking and Drug cartels.

.

******************

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STOCKS

.

.

.

Unless we get

regulators and regulations

the ultimate end pictured above

.

But for now

Second half of 2012 Outlook now

in POSITIONS section of blog

(scroll down to Outlook for 2nd 1/2 of 2012)

.

From Yesterday

“Short term - Hopeful, of bullish bias (see above) till earnings season – Starts end if next week.

If stocks can hold onto or add to Friday’s gains today/this week – its positive for US stocks”

We held onto Friday’s gains = Bullish

.

The McClellan Oscillator

is at OMG overbought levels

+85.09.

For over three years it has been

impossible to move higher from

OMG overbought in the short term

.

Expect, at least consolidation

before any significant gains

.

Long Term Outlook

3+ months

.

NEUTRAL

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS


.


.

.


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July 2, 2012

Miracles Happen

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,

.

Last Week – Two Major

Unexpected Events


.

.

That are potential

Tipping Points

for Future Trends

..

.

Germany’s Stunning

Reversal

The German Parliament by a stunning 4 to 1 margin

approved a Spanish & Italian $120 million bailout,

.

WITHOUT NEW AUSTERITY

MEASURES

.

Stock Markets Across the World Rocket Higher

USA up @2.5%, Germany up @5.7% on Friday

European markets up a bit less than 1% this AM

.

Andrea Merkel German Chancellor

.

.

“Austerity is like a farmer saving money by not

watering his crops as they die in a drought”

Thanks to frequent Blogger

George Norboe

for the above concept.

Link to this and other comments over EU bailout

Here [Scroll Down]

.

***************

.

ObamaCare Upheld

Latest News on Robets’ Switch

.

.

Analysis of Both Events

.

EU Bailout

.

  • Stocks – Obviously a game changer, especially if stock markets hold of add to gains today.
  • Italy and Spain are too big to fail, = Eur0zone collapse. Greece is not & they are going to be angry.
  • Italy & Spain more a a fiscal banking crisis (like the USA) than Greece
  • Major win for Democracy – A Eurozone collapse would be a disaster.
  • A win for Obama. His candidacy would have been toast because a collapsing Eurozone would echo here.
  • Obviously – No solution for regulating the over leveraging of too big to fail banks.

.

Affordable Health Care Act

.

  • Stocks – A non event for US Stock markets – Markets end day (Thursday) slightly higher.
  • Money/Stock prices speaks louder than words. The markets may not always be right & Obamacare will be fear mongered to voters, but stocks have told you there is NO negative economic impact.
  • Hospital Stocks rally 5+% Biggest US hospital chain HCA 14+%
  • No longer will emergency rooms be stuffed with uninsured freeloaders. They will be part of system or suffer a penalty.YOUR hospital costs should get reduced.
  • It’s a step toward joining the rest of the world’s democracies and Massachusetts (scroll down) in a better & more cost effective health care system
  • If Obamacare is OK as a tax, so is Medicare and Social Security – This should be the first words on every Democrat’s lips every time the far right brings up this issue.

.

***************

.

STOCKS

.

.

Short term – Hopeful, of bullish bias (see above) till earnings season – Starts end if next week.

If stocks can hold onto or add to Friday’s gains today/this week – its positive for US stocks

.

Long Term Outlook

Upgrade to

.

NEUTRAL

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.



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June 28, 2012

Bankstas At War

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , ,

.

The International Banking

Cartel’s War on You

.

.

“There’s vast criminality in Wall Street now.


It’s bribery, theft, fraud,
bid rigging, price fixing,


gambling, loan sharking.
All of these things,


it’s all organized.” - MATT TAIBBI

.

Today’s Headlines

.

.

.

Headline NYT Today

“Trading Losses at JPM

could exceed $9 billion

.

.

The “Too Big to Fail”

Cartel/Oligopoly

Caught in another

Skimming operation

.

Barclays

(Britain too big to fail banksta)

Fined $450 million in LIBOR

Price Fixing operation

20+ other bankstas involved.

(Of Course JPM is one)

..

Why it matters

.

The importance of Libor

is hard to overstate.

.

“They are used to value of hundreds of trillions of dollars of financial instruments. Or as Matt Levine puts it, they “set the rates on pretty much all the loans and swaps in the world … CFTC order mentions $350 trillion of [over-the-counter] swaps, $10 trillion of loans, and $437 trillion of CME eurodollar contracts indexed to Libor alone”. Ben Walsh

.

********************

.

STOCKS

.

.

.

Paul’s Corner

.

.


Last evening I had the time to join in with  the HGSI users virtual market discussions.

These are a group of investors who meet on the computer to discuss the market. Most of the members are in cash as I am and feel this market is too shaky to safely invest in.

The market was looking promising late last week but has fallen back into the choppy zone.

.

Ian Woodward posted another great blog

late last evening and is a must read.

.

http://www.highgrowthstock.com…

.

Ian sums it up nicely

in the following chart:

.

http://www.highgrowthstock.com…

.

Last week we did have two Eurekas and a Kahuna, but look on the lower right of the chart at the orange bar, that’s  a Phoenix (opposite of a Eureka) and a Phoenix usually cancels the Eurekas.


http://www.highgrowthstock.com…

.

Looking at the charts last evening I didn’t find much to consider buying and found many of the cha cha cha stocks had profit taking.

As Barr often reminds us there is nothing wrong with taking profits, let me suggest there is nothing wrong with missing the market bottom.

.

******************

.

.

.

Long Term Outlook

.

CAUTIOUSLY BEARISH

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

.

.




.

.

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June 26, 2012

The Mafia State

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The Mafia State;

Banks Owning Government

.

Image Victor Juhasz/Rolling Stone

“There’s vast criminality


in Wall Street now.


It’s bribery, theft, fraud,


bid rigging, price fixing,


gambling, loan sharking.


All of these things,


it’s all organized.”


MATT TAIBBI

________

.

STEP ONE

Banksters/ Vampire Squids

Buy the Government

.

.

OpenSecrets.com

Lists US politicians campaign contributors

Let’s focus just on the heads of the Banking Committee

in the Senate and House

Spenser Bachus R

Tim Johnson D

.

Their largest campaign contributors

are all

Bankstas

.

We all remember 2008

[Investors411 2/27, 28, & 29]

Profits Bonuses & Bailouts

all went to the Bankstas



.

But Bankstas became far more than

America’s Biggest

Welfare Queens

..

“Finance & the Mafia State”

The Above is a Link to a Yves Smith Editorial

from her highly rated blog Naked Capitalism

.

.

The Mafia buys the Cops,

Bankstas buy the

Government

.

Focus – JPM the biggest,

too big to fail,

casino gambler of derivatives

__________

.

  • All 411 readers have read George’s story of  a bank’s illegal break in, theft and destruction of property at his home.

.

JPM CEO

Jamie Dimon

AKA

“Diamond Jim”

.

.

Jamie Dimon

has sat on Board of Directors of

NY FED since 2007-

.

  • Since 2007 – The Fed has provided JPM with $391 billion in assistance
  • FED also provided JPM with $29 billion to buy another troubled investment bank, Bear Sterns

.

It Gets worse

.

.

“The Scams Wall Street Learned

from the Mafia”

link to Rolling Stone article


Imagine a Welfare Queen who abuses/steals from the food stamp program – She goes to jail and/or looses her right to food stamps.

.

But the Bankstas, like JPM,

for decades have

never gone to jail.

.

  • Foreclosed on soldiers while they were fighting in Iraq – No Problem
  • $228 million fine for bond bid riggings – No problem
  • $153 million fine for fraud in CDO trades – No Problem
  • $700 millions in Jefferson County municipial bid rigging/toxic swaps – No Problem
  • 33 million pound “record fine” – failing to keep client’s money separate from their own - No Problem
  • 450 thousand pound fine - JPM global equity chair fined for passing on inside information – No Problem

.

If this is just what JPM

is getting their wrist’s slap for.

Imagine what

they are getting away with

.

For more see Bill Moyers

Interview

with Yves Smith & Matt Taibbi

discussing the too big to fail bank,

JPMorgan

.

The Best interview of the year!

.

Finis




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