Investors 411 Blog

by Barr Jozwicki
March 30, 2012

Taking Action

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , ,

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Taking Action

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Hunger Games

Income Inequality

&

Strong Women


Hunger Games (as pictured above) show a dramatic contrast in income inequality between the rich and the poor.

Jennifer Lawrence, who plays heroine Katniss Everdeen, is one of the best actress on the planet. Her skills range from portraying great  strength to fragile vulnerability.

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Contrast Katniss/Jennifer’s

Strength

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With Rush Limbaugh’s

Hatred of Women

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“Socks is the White House cat. But did you know there is also a White House dog?”

and Limbaugh shows  a picture of 13 year old Hillary Clinton.

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Contrast with Apple’s Treatment

of It’s Chinese Workers

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.

The firm Apple Computer used to audit its massive Foxconn plant in China shows over 60% of workers believe wages ($358 to 455 per month or @ 1/10 of American workers) falls short of basic needs.

“So It Is A Sweatshop After All”

(from Zero Hedge)

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All it takes is telling a co worker today that Apple treatment of its workers in China is unjust.

Others, like many Investors411 readers, are actively shaming Limbaugh advertisers

There will be those who will do nothing,

  • those that will ignore
  • those that will tell you your actions are futile
  • those that are afraid because others will oppose you

But if you continue to remain silent hatred and  inequality will grow.

The odds may be against us

But the time to act is NOW

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PS. We saw Hunger Games last night – Two Thumbs up.

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STOCKS

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Wall Street Bull and OWS Symbol

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Insight into how Investors411 evaluates stocks, markets and trends can be found in the STRATEGY Section of the blog.

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Headline

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Just when things started to look threatening, the Central Banks ride to the rescue.

European Central Bank to the Rescue


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Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

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Still

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

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AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK AND POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

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March 29, 2012

We The People

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

We The People

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By Yankee Bob

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For me the Big Change happened when  Katrina was being tracked into the Gulf
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It was obvious that New Orleans was going to take a big hit and basically, our Federal government did not respond.
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Not pre land fall when evacuation was an option. Not after the flood when  conditions were dire.

But when the US government let a major American city drown and did not mobilize to help out.  The press played the game of “how could we have known such a bad thing would happen?”

No one ever posted the banner headline,
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” Citizens, you’re on your own!”
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The government under GW helped to empty New Orleans of poor blacks. Indefensible! We began the era of “You’re on your own.”

No more of the Government is here to help you and we are all in this together.  No more we can do anything. We left the era of, we can and we will and began the era of…
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we will help corporations and the rich
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But buddy, you’re on your own.

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Because of an attack from some of the most backward people on earth, the USA has become a Police State.
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When you create laws that push aside the constitutional rights in the Bill of Rights, and throw out the Geneva Convention, then you live in a Police State that is no longer a democracy.

Now the press and Congress accept the loss of due process and the right to protest and free speech and protection from unreasonable search and detention.


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In a democracy you have Rights that exist aside from the prerogative of whoever controls the apparatus of the State. And as long as those rights are protected,the will of the people is enacted.

  • The people want a fair tax deal where corporations and the rich pay their fair share.
  • The people want the wars ended.
  • The people want the unfair tax breaks for companies ended.
  • The people want to see alternative and decentralized energy bloom.
  • The people want women’s reproductive rights and health protected.
  • The people want the right to join in class action lawsuits against corporations.
  • The people want our social programs to expand not contract.
If we are such a beacon of Democracy, then why can’t we have any of this? We thought the Age of Greed ended a century or more ago.
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We ain’t seen nothin’ yet.
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Yankee Bob

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STOCKS

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Wall Street Bull and OWS Symbol

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Insight into how Investors411 evaluates stocks, markets and trends can be found in the STRATEGY Section of the blog.

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Mr Central Bank

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  • Mr Central Bank, Ben Bernanke went on ABC Tues. night, but did not talk about  more stimulus. Results – Stocks drop.
  • Best Story out thereHigh Class Spanish Hookers refuse to sleep with Bankstas unless the get loans.
  • Our #1 technical forecasting tool, the McClellan Oscillator (MO) fell to -26.47(for more see  STRATEGY link at top of blog and scroll down) MO now = NEUTRAL

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TROUBLE Ahead

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Short term, some problems ahead because of the Italian bond yield moving off the 4.84% yield low up to 5.20%.

No where near the 7.00% danger zone, but the two+ week rally higher has traders worried that the European Central Bank might be loosing some control.

In a Central Bank manipulated market, you want yields stable or moving down.

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Bankstas

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As Investors411 readers realize Bakstas no longer practice capitalism, but run a massive, unregulated casino or derivatives market where gains are privatized  for them and you  socialize the risk.

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&

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As Congressman Duncan Hunter says –

“for all practical purposes many US corporations have become Chinese Corporations”

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We all know Bakstas in the USA have little incentive to shower Americans with loans – But guess who is getting lots of helpwith mortgage money for loans by US Banks?

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China & BAC

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State run China’s Construction Bank,  just announce a 25.5% increase in profits – $26.9 billion.

10% of  the biggest home lender in China is owned by Bank of America.

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Paul’s Corner

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Buongiorno!

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Most of the members of Your Stock List behaved yesterday, some down and some up, here are a few to note:

AKRX – closed under the 50, under pressure

IMAX – under continued pressure

KOG – dropped below the 50 with high volume

URI – YSL member United Rentals report and video from CNBC – While the economic downturn has been difficult for a wide range of companies, it’s been somewhat of a boon for United Rentals. The company has prospered as construction companies rent its equipment rather than buy equipment outright.

See the CNBC Video:

Here’s a curious irony about the energy market: The greatest threat to the future growth of the U.S. solar market is sustained low natural gas prices, which continue to hit fresh decade lows this week. Every day of $2.25 natural gas spot prices or below is another day to expect natural gas power plants to replace the dying coal plant fleet, and that makes for a tougher case when utilities need to argue in support of solar power deployment.

2 Big Falling Knives in the Energy Market

The Banks stock appear to be  moving, check out a Paul’s Corner Extra posted in the comments section last evening.

Link:

The energy, material and utilities are under pressure, the following link is to a spread sheet I created using EdgeRater Software, showing the various sector moves as of the March 28 close:

LINK

All comments are for education only and you are foolish to trade on anything I suggest! If I failed to comment on a stock on Your Stock List, it doesn’t mean it’s safe to own or needs to be sold, that’s up to you to figure out!

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Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

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Still

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

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AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK AND POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

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March 28, 2012

The Mt Everest of Cash

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , ,

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Ask Your Conservative

Friends

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The Follow Up

Jobs Question on…

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The Mt. Everest of Cash

Businessman climbing on money vector

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Apple Computer.

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Apple  was sitting on

The Mt. Everest of Cash.

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They will be lavishing on wealthy investors 10′s of billions in  dividends and stock buy backs.

Making the already rich 1% even richer [Richest 1% in USA had 93% of the income gains in 2010- See yesterday's blog]

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What Apple Could Have Done?

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  • Launched a huge expansion in Research and Development – Creating Jobs
  • Launched a Program with American Universities to help train workers for Apple Jobs
  • Launched a Program with American Government to help train workers for Apple Jobs
  • A spectacular PR move that uses of 1/10 of that Mt Everest of cash to help Americans.

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WHY IS IT THAT

CONSERVATIVES BELIEVE

MOST AMERICAN WORKERS

ARE LAZY

RATHER THAN MOST

OF THE WEALTHIEST

1% OF AMERICANS

ARE GREEDY?

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STOCKS

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Wall Street Bull and OWS Symbol

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Insight into how Investors411 evaluates stocks, markets and trends can be found in the STRATEGY Section of the blog.

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Nothing’s Changed,

Same Headline

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Investors411 Beats The Drums for

The Fed’s (Central Banks) Has You’re Back

Every analyst out there has called for a correction over the last three months. Obviously the longer the rally goes on the more the “experts” call for a correction.

It will happen when it happens

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How big a correction, will be decided

by Central Banks

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Old Faithful

The McCellan Oscillator

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  • Our #1 technical forecasting tool, the McClellan Oscillator (MO) rose to -11.68. (for more see  STRATEGY link at top of blog and scroll down) MO now = NEUTRAL

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Swimming With Sharks

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Why Stocks Rally

Another Example

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AAPL reached another all time high closing high yesterday. Apple could have used its Mt. Everest of cash on reseach and develpment, thereby insuring more organic growth over the long term.

Instead they now offer a healthy dividend and stock buy back for mostly wealthy shareholders.

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Why This Creates a

Short term Rally

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APPL has moved from over bought to OMG over bought for three months. Amazing all who have called for its downfall.

What the dividend/buy back program does is open AAPL to a whole new class of VALUE investors, who would not have otherwise bought Apple.

All those who chase momentum in stocks now know there’s a fresh supply of investors in waiting to buy. So they too buy the dips.

.

So for a while APPL will move higher

on the new supply of investors

NOT future Organic Growth.

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Paul’s Corner

While the indexes suggest a never ending rally, there are hints the market is stalling. Otay, understand? Keeping this in mind, here are what our charts look like.

TRADERS

CMG – Continues its march up, this is the kind of tight chart you want a stock to have. The angle of the chart has turned up indicating a wee bit of extension  and the buying has accelerated. Buy any dip.

DLTR – great chart, continues toward the BIG dollar in the sky!  Buy any dip.

ENB – Basing, sitting on the 50

FAST – good chart, buy any dip

FL – nice gap up two days ago, buy any dip

HD – excellent tight chart, buy any dip

IBM – the old dog hit’s a 52 week high, proof you don’t kick out an old dog unless it starts smelling. Buy any dip. 1.4% dividend

IMAX – HGSI indicators have turned red, two red/down Kahuna’s the past few days, sitting below lower Bollinger Band, needs to cross up through the middle BB (25.74) before a buy is “safe”.

KLAC – nice break out of a short handle/base, buy any dip.

LEN – great earnings report, gapped up yesterday, buy any pull back.

MA – broke out of a month long base, buy any dip.

MNST – what a monster of a chart, buy any dip!

RYL – sitting above the 50, LEN has a better chart.

TSCO – broke out of a 3 month base, buy any dip.

URI – basing, sitting on the 17, and personally driving me nuts. Subject to the whims of the “housing market”

WATCHERS

AKRX – sitting above the 50 and 17, basing, HGSI indicators are red.

BKI – HGSI indicators green, sitting above the 50/17, two blue/up Kahuna’s past few days, buyable

KOG – basing, above the 50, below the 17

SWI – broke out of  nice 2 month base, all indicators green, good 13 day Force, other similar Software stocks are doing well. Buy any dip.  Expect to add this stock to the traders.

DUMPSTERS

SIMO – chart suggests not buyable

CATM – chart broke down through the 50, HGSI indicators red, not buyable.

FTK – buy at your own risk.

Be sure to check earnings release dates, that’s your responsibility not mine!

Disclaimer – all comments for education only, buy or trade at your own risk. At time of writing I do own some of the stocks listed.


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Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

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Still

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

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AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK AND POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.


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March 27, 2012

The Death Star

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , ,

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The USA’s Plutocracy’s

Death Star


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Grows Bigger

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Rich Get RicherIn 2010 a staggering 93% of the additional wealth ($288 billion) created from 2009 went to the richest 1%. Story

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Too Big To Fail Bankstas Get BiggerThe top 5 US Banks have cornered 95.7% of the  opaque casino/derivative market in the US – $230.8 Trillion. That’s trillions with a TStory

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Et Tu Apple - Instead of poring money in R&D, working with gov’t to create jobs, or even improving Chinese workers lives – after Steve Jobs death – APPL announces a dividend and stock buy back that most benefits the wealthy plutocracy

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Pink Slime Scandal - Ammonia treated leftovers injected into 70% of US hamburger revealed. Under Secretary of Agriculture Joann Smith who approved Pink Slime makes at least a million working for Beef Industry after quitting government. (Thanks JS for heads up on this)

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Millionaire/Billionaires Buy Politicians - Now plutocracy members give contributions of $15 to $20 million to presidential candidates or their parties. The US becomes more like a dictatorship backed by wealthy plutocrats each day.

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Hidden DonationsYou can’t, but the Plutocracy can hide it donations. Seecurity and Exchange Commision (SEC) refuses to make corporations reveal their hidden donations. Story

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Every Day the Gilded Age of Wealth for America’s Plutocracy grows brighter and brighter.

Every Day your rights, power and financial well being in a democracy grow dimmer and dimmer.

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Never has their takeover of government

been more transparent.

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Yet through media manipulation, fear mongering, and distraction they pull the wool over your eyes.

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ITS THE GOVERNMENT STUPID

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- Robert Liberman’s editorial over a year ago in Foreign Affairs on why the Rich in Ameica are Getting Richer and YOU carry them on your backs.

Thanks to Popeye for the Death Star analogy

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STOCKS


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Wall Street Bull and OWS Symbol

..

Insight into how Investors411 evaluates stocks, markets and trends can be found in the STRATEGY Section of the blog.

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Same Headline

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Investors411 Beats The Drums for

The Fed’s (Central Banks) Has You’re Back

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Most likely senerio – Stocks will hold onto the vast majority of yesterdays melt up and therefore confirm the rally.

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______________

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Old Faithful

The McCellan Oscillator

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  • Our #1 technical forecasting tool, the McClellan Oscillator (MO) rose to -0.36. (for more see  STRATEGY link at top of blog and scroll down) MO now = NEUTRAL
  • 6 month chart of MO.  We just missed our clearer buy signal. MO fell to -50, not -60. It just may be that this Central bank manipulated market is too strong for another big dip. No forecasting tool is 100% accurate. But for those that can handle more risk and are shorter term traders -50 proved to be a good entry point.

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Canary in a Coal Mine

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Investors411 uses two gauges to determine how well Central Banks are doing at manipulating stocks.

  • Italian 10 year bond yield up again  to 5.08% (7:45 AM EST) Well below the 7.00% Danger Zone, but its started to rally again
  • Our USA canary in the coal mine - The US ten year T bill broke out of its trading range two+ weeks ago. Hardly something to worry about yet. Rates have now settled down to  2.24% yield. But rising rates is something to keep an eye on.

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_____________

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Swimming With Sharks

Part 2

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..

In part #1 we went over almost every shark out their investing has better and more comprehensive information than you or I.

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So how do we

level the playing field?

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  • Understand the the trend
  • Learn Shark Behavior
  • Use common sense.

Like what it has to say or not Investors411 Winning Record is clearly based on an understanding of trend. It can be found in the OVERVIEW Section of the blog. Additional info in the STRATEGY Section

Let’s start with two examples.

Macro trend – The Fed and other Central Banks are manipulating stock markets. Once you realize the trend, you find a way to measure it and then you have what turns out to be a bullish bias that trumps almost everything from fundamental to technical analysis.

Micro Trend – Lion’s Gate/ Hunger Games (LGF) just had a blockbuster 25% to 50% better than expected opening. Hunger games is a trilogy. Is the stock trending higher? Does the current stock price yet reflect these future unexpected gains?

Part 3 – soon

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**********************

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Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

Still

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK AND POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

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March 26, 2012

Heroines

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , ,

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Heroines

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Katniss Everdeen

Hunger Games


Hunger Games had the biggest (non sequel) opening ever this weekend. (#3 all time)  Katniss Everdeen is the post apocalyptic heroine and lead character in the movie.

There are aspects of this movie that some/many will find disquieting, and gruesome, but it is Katniss…

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a powerful independent women,

who is the heroine

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_________

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Little Women/The 4 March Sisters

That’s Katherine Hepburn in back, for those old enough to remember

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Katniss is Jo March

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The 1868 strong independent heroine of Louisa May Alcott’s – Little Women –  spurned marriage and marched off to NYC to become a a reporter. Katniss,  like Jo March, is the…

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“Feminatzi” Limbaugh hates

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Limbaugh is both a symbol and distraction to what is a war against women in the USA and the across the world.

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_________

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Stag Party by Frank Rich

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This New Yorker editorial illuminates some of the growing political divide of women in the USA.

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STOCKS

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Mea Culpa – A computer problem cut short the Stock section today

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Bang The Drums

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Many of you keep sending me emails of analysts predictions that bears will rule. Some day they will. But for now, bang the drums for the bulls. Until this 800 lbs Gorilla leaves the room…

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The stock outlook for Investors411 is

.

Still

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK AND POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.



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March 25, 2012

Swimming with Sharks

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update

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First

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The Comments Section contains some great stock tips

and a raging debate over this guy

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and this “War on Women”

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Video

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Check out the debate out

Here and Here (Scroll Down)

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Swimming with Sharks

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Is Dangerous!

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STOCKS

One of Investors411 mantras is fundamentals are the engine drive stocks and technicals act as road signs along the way.

Yet in the over 8 years since Investors was first published you’ve never (or rarely) seen fundamental factors like EPS (earnings per share), PEG (Price to Earnings Growth ratio)PE (Price to Earings) or a myriad of other fundamental factors many other analysts use.

,

WHY?





After all former Goldman Sachs big wig,  Jim Cramer, with some justification, tells his views to do their homework on stocks. You can learn a lot about stocks from Cramer. But…

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Why 411 Uses a different Method.

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Who Makes Stock Trades?

.

The Sharks

  • High Frequency Traders
  • Hedge Funds
  • Mutual Funds
  • Sovereign Wealth Funds
  • Investment Banks
  • Brokerage Houses
  • Professional Traders
  • and YOU

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Trading Floor of UBS

.

A Wealth Management Firm


All the Professional Sharks with with their army of researchers know more about fundamental values and their ratios than you or I do.

If a WMF is really good, their tracking the number of containers that are coming off cargo ships for a company and have people on the inside of the company feeding them info.

Even if you use one of these “Wealth Management Firms” who gets the inside scoop? – the trust fund baby and the Saudi Prince with $100′s of millions to invest or YOU?

Do you really trust Goldman Sach’s and their kind is out to make money for you or themselves?

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So how do you win when there are so many Sharks waiting to devour you?

.

,

  • What Fundamentals Investors411 uses
  • Technical Analysis that can compete with sharks.
  • How to Swim with sharks (You’re never going to kill them, but…)

More Tomorrow…


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March 23, 2012

Santorum Shocks

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,

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Santorum Shocker

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“Obama’s Better Than

Etch A Sketch Romney”

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Have you ever seen a major candidate from one party say the other party’s candidate (Obama) would make a better president?

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Lead story/interview from  NBC More from Huffington Post More from CBS

Why the “Etch A Sketch” Label will stick - Time Magazine’s Joe Klein

.

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Romney, spent yesterday emphasizing that the bailout save the USA from a

“full scale depression.”

Bush, Paulson, Bernanke and a majority of Dems supported the bailout.

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*******************

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A Personal Note

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Serial Misogynist

Rush Limbaugh

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As CDB says in the comments section of the blog – “few have problems with those who make one or a few politically incorrect statements.” True.

.

Personally, I have a wife, daughters and grand daughter and I am going to defend them to my utmost ability against anyone who dehumanizes and objectifies them. Especially, someone who continually does this day after day, after day.

Bullies wont stop unless YOU take a stand.

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******************

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STOCKS

.

Wall Street Bull and OWS Symbol

..

Insight into how Investors411 evaluates stocks, markets and trends can be found in the STRATEGY Section of the blog.

.

Headline

.

openingimage

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China

Is The Bubble Bursting?

(Photo from ETF Digest)

.

  • The possibility of a hard landing as the Chinese economy slows down became more real yesterday. This sent shivers to stock markets around the world. Story from International Business Times
  • Its a bit surprising that US stocks fell as little (@-0.5%) as they did (lighter volume too) on the China news.
  • More confirmation of a hard landing for the Chinese economy would have a negative impact on US and world equities.
  • The major fundamental behind stocks remainsCentral Banks printing money and low interest rates. It forces money/people that want a higher rate of return into stocks and other riskier assets.

Therefore a Long Term Bullish Bias

______________

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Old Faithful

The McCellan Oscillator

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  • Our #1 technical forecasting tool, the McClellan Oscillator (MO) fell to -49.53. (for more see  STRATEGY link at top of blog and scroll down) MO approaching oversold territory = NEUTRAL/bullish
  • 6 month chart of MO. From two days ago - “The MO is best at calling tops and bottoms. However,…the chart  looks like we maybe heading down the next few days. Would love to see a dip low enough (past-60) for a clearer MO buy signal.”

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______________

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Canary in a Coal Mine

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Investors411 uses two gauges to determine how well Central Banks are doing at manipulating stocks.

  • Italian 10 year bond yield up again  to 5.16% (7:15 AM EST) Well below the 7.00% Danger Zone, but its started to rally again
  • Reports out of Spain (the second largest European country in trouble) are worsening. Rising to 5.49% rate at yesterday’s close.
  • Our USA canary in the coal mine - The US ten year T bill broke out of its trading range two weeks ago. Hardly something to worry about yet. Rates have fallen last two days to  2.27% yield. But rising rates is something to keep an eye on.

_____________

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.

Reading Tea Leaves


Bottom Line – From two days ago “The rally off the last dip is cooling off…. So this does look like a ”healthy”rest for stocks. If our MO goes low enough, perhaps a buy the dip situation will arise.”

We have had warnings of a fundamental shift in China. How dramatically and/or fast China slows down is significant. Probably not a concern, because China will manufacture (lie or exaggerate) about data. But something to keep an eye on.

Still looking for the MO to drop low enough to “buy the dip.”

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********************

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YOUR Stock List

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A week or two ago Paul Listed some of the stocks in YSL #8 that had become potential “Buy The Dip Candidates.”

Your never near 100% (unless your a HFT trader), but there have been, as Popeye would say,  some

.

Winner Winner

Chicken Diner Stocks.

.

  • FT - Footlocker - chart
  • CMG – Chipoltechart
  • DLTR – Dollar Tree – chart

Considering three down days in a row,

The Results Deserve some

Trumpets

.

There’s more – Review the whole list here (March 12th blog – scroll down)

Check out the comments section of blog for more.

_________

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A Special Shout Out to George

who suggested buying Etch a Sketch Stock two Days ago

Etch a Sketch stock (Ohio Art OART:OTC US) went from $4.00 to $12.50 yesterday. This is one very small company. Proving, once again, how important fundamentals are to stock prices.


..

**********************

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Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

Still

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK AND POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.


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March 22, 2012

War on Women

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , ,

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War On Women

.

Photo is Link to 60 second video

Extended Cut (96 seconds) here

Video’s speak for themselves. Spread them. If you use Facebook – A Link

From men telling women what to do with their bodies to women earning  75% of what men do,…

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Discrimination still exist.

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*****************

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Romney’s Platform Like

Etch-A-Sketch

Shake it up & Start over again

.

Mitt Romney Etch A Sketch

.

All politicians change positions, But…

Mitt Romney

has, become the poster boy for

.

Flip Flops

.

The Romney campaign’s senior advisor  told the media that Romney’s campaign positions were like “Etch A Sketch.”

They would wipe the slate clean and start all over again in the general election. From Politico the storyincludes clips from original statement, Santorum/Gingrich response, Democrats response and analysis.

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How would you feel if the advice given in Investors411 was NOT what I really believed?


Thanks to George for the heads up on this.

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STOCKS


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Wall Street Bull and OWS Symbol..

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Insight into how Investors411 evaluates stocks, markets and trends can be found in the STRATEGY Section of the blog.

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Headline

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Movie – Hunger Games

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Maybe you’re one of the 26 million who have read the books,

If not, this weekends movie will help you understand the above photo

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  • Check out chart of Lions Gate, the producer of Hunger Games. The movie is in 3D. So, YSL 2012 stock IMAX may benefit. Avatar was a much better movie in 3D. Judging from the previews It’s hard to see a big upside IMAX stock move happening because of Hunger Games. Maybe a smaller move.
  • Bottom LineThe three day rally in Lion’s Gate shows FUNDAMENTALS (Lions Gate new movie) are the engines that drive stock prices.  Everything from our Old faithful MO to astrology may offer guidelines or warning signs, but fundamentals rule.
  • The major fundamental behind stocks is Central Banks printing money and low interest rates. It forces money/people that want a higher rate of return into stocks and other riskier assets.


Therefore a Long Term Bullish Bias

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Old Faithful

McCellan Oscillator

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  • Our #1 technical forecasting tool, the McClellan Oscillator (MO) fell to -25.00. (for more see  STRATEGY link at top of blog and scroll down) NO technical pressure on  either bears and bulls = NEUTRAL
  • 6 month chart of MO. From Yesterday – The MO is best at calling tops and bottoms. However,…the chart  looks like we maybe heading down the next few days. Would love to see a dip low enough (past-60) for a clearer MO buy signal.”

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Canary in a Coal Mine

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Investors411 uses two gauges to determine how well Central Banks are doing at manipulating stocks.

  • Italian 10 year bond yield up  to 5.07% (6:00 AM EST) Well below the 7.00% Danger Zone, but its started to rally again
  • Our USA canary in the coal mine - The US ten year T bill broke out of its trading range over a week. Hardly something to worry about yet with at a low 2.29% yield. But rising rates is something to keep an eye on.

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Bottom Line – The rally off the last dip is cooling off.  Fundamentals have NOT dramatically shifted. So this does look like a “healthy” rest for stocks. If our MO goes low enough, perhaps a buy the dip situation will arise.

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Paul’s Corner

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AAPL, AAPL, AAPL, AAPL

I gotta buy AAPL,

I just hafta buy AAPL!

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Gee it’s worth more than the coffers of Mitt Romney, more than Rush Limbaugh, it’s the most valuable company in the world I just need to buy.

Or do I? Let’s be old fashioned and take a look at the chart. I know some folks don’t see the sense at looking at a chart, why look at a chart when it’s a company like AAPL? The AAPL store is standing room only and the customers go around the block so why look at the chart?

EW asked a few days ago “what’s an extended stock?”. Well EW AAPL is a perfect example of an extended stock, in fact it’s a very extended stock.

Being extended doesn’t matter, it’s APPL! Oh really? Well let’s take a look at AAPL’s chart, yeah yeah, I know you don’t need to check the chart, it’s AAPL.

A stocks chart is a history lesson of its performance over time. One of the first things to check when looking at a stock chart is how far it’s from its moving averages, and the typical moving averages used are the 17, 50 and 200 DMA’s.

The following chart shows under what conditions a stock is extended, is dangerous to buy and should be watched closely for profit taking by the institutions.

LINK

So EW, please be so kind and get out your pocket calculator and tell us if it’s dangerous to buy AAPL at this point.

And the answer is?

While we patiently wait for EW to find the calculator, I have an easier way to check a stock extension. Using the proprietary Ian Woodward indicator available on HGSI software we can pictorially chart a stocks extension and evaluate if it’s safe to buy or even own a stock.

LINK

This indicator in the top of this chart shows the stocks extension from its moving averages, the 17, 50 and 200. The top thin blue line is the sum of all three and we call it the High Jump Indicator. History shows in the recent past how high above its averages AAPL gets and corrects. As you can see AAPL is roughly double its historical point of correction and if history is correct, AAPL will correct.

So my friends, is it safe to buy AAPL at this time?

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Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

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Still

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

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AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK AND POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

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March 21, 2012

Hypocrites

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,

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Hypocrisy and

and Rich Republican


Now that so many Americans have made it – own their own homes and have at least hundred of thousands in investments. Lets take a look at some of the benefits we had getting started on the road to riches from 1950 to 1980


  • No threat of “outsourcing” your job.
  • No K Street lobbyists creating tax breaks for the wealthy.
  • A Capitalist Banking system then, not a deregulated casino

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This is just some the advantages we had growing up and starting out. If you were middle class it was hell of a lot easier to make it in America – To buy a house – To raise a family – to save money.

Now, right wingers want to hold those struggling accountable. Here’s what they say.

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“I worked hard to get where I am,

so should you.”

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Bloody Hell

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Hypocrites!

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Look at all the advantages

YOU had!

We’re not calling for a 100% reversal. All we’re asking is give those who want to work some of the advantages that YOU had growing up.

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Republicans

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Romney wins Illinois Primary 46.7% to 35.0% for Santorum.

Romney outspends Santorum 7 to 1 and blasts him with negative adds.


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STOCKS

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Wall Street Bull & OWS Symbol

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Insight into how Investors411 evaluates stocks, markets and trends can be found in the STRATEGY Section of the blog.

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Headline

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Bulls Take Time Out

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  • On the 10th day of the current short term rally stocks pulled back slightly in lower volume This predicted rally comes as no surprise to Investors411 readers.

Investors411 has been CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH for months.


  • We are in a sustained Central Bank (ECB, our Fed and Japan) manipulated. liquidity rally that began in October.
  • The long term trend remains (sorry for the repetition) - “Don’t fight the Central Banks – As long as they are dumping liquidity (printing money) to cover up losses anyone who has thought stocks would falter over the last three years has been on the wrong side of this trade.”

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Old Faithful

McCellan Oscillator

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  • Our #1 technical forecasting tool, the McClellan Oscillator (MO) fell to -23.66. (for more see  STRATEGY link at top of blog and scroll down) NO technical pressure on  either bears and bulls = NEUTRAL
  • 6 month chart of MO. The MO is best at calling tops and bottoms. However, a short term look at the chart,  looks like we maybe heading down the next few days.  Would love to see a dip low enough (past-60) for a clear MO buy signal

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Canary in a Coal Mine

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Investors411 uses two gauges to determine how well Central Banks are doing at manipulating stocks.

  • Italian 10 year bond yield up slightly to 4.90% (6:00 AM EST) Well below the 7.00% Danger Zone.
  • The ECB is providing the liquidity to keep these bond prices low so the European canary still singing Ode to Joy.
  • Our USA canary in the coal mine - The US ten year T bill broke out of its trading range over a week. Now at a resistance level. Hardly something to worry about yet with at a low 2.37% yield. But rising rates is something to keep an eye on.

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Bottom Line – [No Change] “We reached a level in the US where traders/investors believe the economy might be catching hold or, if not, the Fed has our back. The economy catching hold would be truly remarkable since emerging market GDP’s are decreasing, Japan’s disasters and Europe’s recession.”

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If the liquidity keeps flowing

stocks will keep growing


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AAPL

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Mea CulpaObviously Investors411 should have spent more time talking about and endorsing AAPL over the last few months.

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  • Short Term – Monday’s dividend announcement and stock buy back,means a whole new range of value investors, who love dividends and buybacks) are now willing to Buy The Dip. Exactly what happened at yesterday’s open.
  • Just a better and dominant player in so many computer related areas.
  • 700,000+ Chinese workers and 45,000 US workers make it a Chinese company that happens to have its headquarters in USA.
  • Long term trade barriers [25% tax on all US goods going to China and a 2.5% tax on Chinese goods coming here] insures Apples dominance in faster growing Chinese markets and here.
  • An over extended stock that a new supply of  ”value investors” are willing to buy.
  • It will probably take some significant fundamental to stop the bull run. But when this happens there will be a big hit because so many long (call positions) will panic and sell.

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Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

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Still

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

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AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK AND POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

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March 19, 2012

“Muppets”

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , ,

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“Muppets”

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What Goldman Sachs Calls

Customers – Greg Smith

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This story was first mentioned in the comments section last Wednesday.

It’s out of date, but bears repeating.

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Greg Smith, and upper management leader on  - Why I’m Leaving Goldman Sachs. The NYT editorial.

From USA Today on Banksters

The most important part of its business, generating huge profits, but doing precious little of what banks are supposed to do: provide the long term investment that fuels economic growth.

Investors 411 readers know we run an unregulateds casino financial system instead of a capitalist system. Trillions in wealth have/are evaporating and this has a massive impact on everything  from the deficit to employment.

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STOCKS

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Wall Street Bull & OWS Symbol

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Insight into how Investors411 evaluates stocks, markets and trends can be found in the STRATEGY Section of the blog.

,

Headline

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A Stampede

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  • The eighth day of the current short term rally produced a mixed market. This predicted rally comes as no surprise to Investors411 readers. 411 has been CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH for months,
  • We are in a sustained Central Bank (ECB, our Fed and Japan) manipulated rally that began in October. It now, because of jobs numbers
  • Apple looks like its going to pay out a dividend – Announcement today 9:00 AM EST – This will open Apple to a whole new group of investors. Or a big buy back of shares. Both short term - Bullish
  • The long term trend remains (sorry for the repetition) - “Don’t fight the Central Banks - As long as they are dumping liquidity (printing money) to cover up losses anyone who has thought stocks would falter over the last three years has been on the wrong side of this trade.”

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Old Faithful

McCellan Oscillator

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  • Our #1 technical forecasting tool, the McClellan Oscillator (MO) fell to -13.27. (for more see  STRATEGY link at top of blog and scroll down) NO technical pressure on  either bears and bulls = NEUTRAL

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Canary in A European Coal Mine

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  • Italian 10 year bond yield fell slightly to 4.80% (7:30 AM EST) Well below the 7.00% Danger Zone.
  • The ECB is providing the liquidity to keep these bond prices low so the European canary still singing Ode to Joy.
  • Our USA canary in the coal mine - The US ten year T bill broke out of its trading range last week. But leveled off late in the week. Hardly something to worry about yet with at a low 2.30% yield. But rising rates is something to keep an eye on.

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Bottom LineWe reached a level in the US where traders/investors believe the economy might be catching hold or, if not, the Fed has our back. The economy catching hold would be truly remarkable since emerging market GDP’s are decreasing, Japan’s disasters and Europe’s recession.

If traders/Investors sell into the Apple news -that would be an indication of a short term top.

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Positions

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Investors411  has a position in a homebuilders ETF - XHB and recommends a defensive position in oil price ETF’s USO or UCO (2X) for those with sizable portfolios to protect. This is to guard against an oil supply disruption.

Check out YSL 2012 list in last Monday’s blog. (Paul’s Corner) Remember the analysis of data there is now – way out of date.

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If the liquidity keeps flowing

stocks will keep growing

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.

Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

Still

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK AND POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

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