Violence In America -Rape

Susan Brownmiller. Against Our Will is her 1975 groundbreaking book which states rape is nothing more or less than a conscious process of intimidation by which all men keep all women in a state of fear.”

You may think that this statement goes too far, but it brought the crime of rape out of the closet. You can find out more about this late American hero and her fight for women and against rape at http://www.susanbrownmiller.com

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Some statistics from Ohio Univ.

  • In the United States, 1.3 women are raped every minute. That results in 78 rapes each hour, 1872 rapes each day, 56160 rapes each month and 683,280 rapes each year.
  • 1 out of every 3 American women will be sexually assaulted in her lifetime.
  • The United States has the world’s highest rape rate of the countries that publish such statistics. It’s 4 times higher than Germany, 13 times higher than England, and 20 times higher than Japan.
  • 1 in 7 women will be raped by her husband.
  • 83% of rape cases are ages 24 or under.
  • 1 in 4 college women have either been raped or suffered attempted rape.
  • 1 in 12 males students surveyed had committed acts that met the legal definition of rape. Furthermore, 84% of the men who had committed such acts said what they had done was definitely not rape.
  • 75% of male students and 55% of female students involved in acquaintance rape had been drinking or using drugs.

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Happy to see that those in the, always vibrant, comments section seemed to have come to the conclusions that there is a Violence Problem in America.

I have no idea what motivated the insanity behind the assassination attempt of the Democratic Arizona Congresswoman and resulting deaths, but its long past time we deal with the “conscious problem of intimidation” that keeps us all in fear and other aspects of American violence.

President Obama is asking for a moment of Silence at 11:00AM EST for victims in Arizona.

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KISS & Stocks (Keep It Simple Stupid)

If you don’t understand a term look in up at Investopedia.com dictionary

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING!

DOUBLE CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR MISTAKES

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Index Percentage Volume
Dow -0.19% up
NASDQ -0.25% down
S&P 500 -0.18% up
Russell 2000 -0.45% -

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Technicals, Fundamentals & Analysis

Investors411 record - 6 years of beating benchmark S&P 500

  • Markets fell in the AM on a MA Supreme Court ruling preventing foreclosures – who the hell knows who owns the property –  derivatives on mortgages
  • Employment report 9.4% headline was good, but the 103,000 jobs created was below expectations.
  • So many analysts have said this for so long its got to happen sooner rather than later – markets overdue for correction
  • I remain convinced that good economic news for the USA is OK for stocks, but bad news is better because it means more quantitative easing by the Fed.
  • Here Comes Earnings Season by John Nayardi. – Flat to down week

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Significant Shorter Term Forecasting Indexes

  • The Dollar (USD) [Anything daily price move over +/- 0.50 is significant. Dollar usually moves inversely to stocks] 5 day significant rally in & dollar near breakout levels. Friday up +0.27%. Surprised we had a slight up week for stocks with the dollars move higher. DANGER – A breakout to new highs will negatively impact stocks.  Trend for stocks= Neutral/Bearish
  • McClellan Index – (MO) [The very rough guideline is over +60 = overbought market = sell positions or short stocks, & -60 = oversold market = buy stocks.] Fell Friday  to -7.64 The MO has been no where near +/- 60 for two months, but the chart shows a bullish pattern of higher highs and higher lows and that’s bullish. outlook for stocks = Neutral
  • 10 year T Bill (TNX)  In consolidation pattern  Some big recent moves shows big indecision. Big jump lower Friday, but still in range. = Neutral

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Reading The Tea Leaves

The ”schizophrenic.” pattern changed back to the bears Friday

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Markets that are erratic often indicate a change. After so many weeks of listening to analysts say we are too high, I’m finally starting to believe it.

Monday’s are usually very good, but think some investors are going to be worried about earnings season.

What to watch

AAPL – Broke out again, or rather inched out again+0.72% to a new high. This is your market leader if it breaks down so will stocks.

UUP – Tracking ETF for dollar. At 23.36 now and breakout level at just above 23.5.  Any significant move above this level is trouble for stocks.

Working on 2011 Investment guide - Short term more bearish, but bullish in long term for the year.

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Positions

The  Positions Section link to latest & former buys and sells  - These are positions I actually own

(I do manage 6 accounts that have other positions).

Current ETF Positions. (oldest held positions listed first)(see comments section where all trades are first announced)

  • UWM
  • REMX -(ETF for Rare Earth Metals) Wednesday – Sold 1/2 at 26.12 for +6% gain Got stopped out at 23.76 for a -4% loss. Total +1% gain

NB -

  • No matter how much I like a stock I usually keep a 5 to 7% trailing stop on volatile ETF’s.
  • Cut back to one position so obviously not very bullish in short term.
  • Tightening trailing stop to 4% on 1/2 of UWM

Under consideration

UCO -(2x oil prices) Very erratic, waiting till correction settles.

REMX (Rare Earth ETF) -   Will buy back hopefully on slight dip. Only ETF under consideration at this time.

EWZ (Brazil) & LBJ ( 3x Latin America – majority Brazil) Obviously the later is more risky because its leveraged 3X. Waiting for larger pull back on both.

UYG (ETF that does 2x Dow financials) XLF is the financial ETF. -  Both overbought at this time

DGP – Will buy back into this 2x gold ETF on dip.

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Look for Paul R’s always enlightening remarks on stocks and sectors in the comments section of the blog. See POSITION section of blog for lists of potential stocks & ETF’s including “YOUR Stock List.” (YSL#3)

Longer Term Outlook - CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING!

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