Investors 411 Blog

Chris,

I made my decision based on the fact that I've not read any moderate political posts on this site. Overwhelming they have been anti moderate, conservative. Philisophicily
(sp) I'm a conservative on financial matters, and liberal on social issues, but not dogmatic, and felt I was not engaging with anyone close to my views; the posters were picking on points they disagreed with, ridiculing them, and ignoring any comments I made that they could possibly agree with.
I read columns on the NYTimes, and comments on them, and find a more broad range of responses, in a liberal paper, than I've read here.

After reading some of my posts here, I see where I've responded too aggressively to attacking, ridiculing comments.

After reading your post, I will continue to post comments, and ignore ridiculing comments.

A comment on debating I've heard was: If you can argue on the facts, do; If not, ridicule; If that doesn't work, yell.
I'll stick to the first, especially after reading your post.

Thanks for your post.

Today, in the NYTimes, is an informative column, a very reasonable view on the main issue in the upcoming election.

http://campaignstops.blogs.nyt...

JS

I'm a moderate independent voter who has a special message for JS and Popeye. 

First like many others readers who have not yet decided who to vote for, the primary reason we read Investors 411 is for the winning investment ideas. I made a bundle out of dividend stocks last year. I go over the comment section to see what concepts Barr, Paul and others have to offer.

That's why I read the comments section today. I don't contribute as much as I should. But thanks to everyone for all the solid investment advice. I also love to read about the politics.

Both JS & Popeye have made up their mind. JS has said he's for Paladino and Romney, and Popeye is for Occupy Wall Street. One of you has said to the other that you are not going to respond anymore, because you both have hardened positions.

So what. What about the rest of us undecided moderates who have not made up our minds! Are we just chopped liver? You may not convince each other because neither of you are undecided moderates but if you really believe in your side why not fight for it?

Chris

Chris,

I made my decision based on the fact that I've not read any moderate political posts on this site. Overwhelming they have been anti moderate, conservative. Philisophicily
(sp) I'm a conservative on financial matters, and liberal on social issues, but not dogmatic, and felt I was not engaging with anyone close to my views; the posters were picking on points they disagreed with, ridiculing them, and ignoring any comments I made that they could possibly agree with.
I read columns on the NYTimes, and comments on them, and find a more broad range of responses, in a liberal paper, than I've read here.

After reading some of my posts here, I see where I've responded too aggressively to attacking, ridiculing comments.

After reading your post, I will continue to post comments, and ignore ridiculing comments.

A comment on debating I've heard was: If you can argue on the facts, do; If not, ridicule; If that doesn't work, yell.
I'll stick to the first, especially after reading your post.

Thanks for your post.

Today, in the NYTimes, is an informative column, a very reasonable view on the main issue in the upcoming election.

http://campaignstops.blogs.nyt...

JS

Chris I respect, honer, and agree with your point of view. 

Rest assured I and others like me will continue to fight for what we believe in. If someone wants to enter into a reasoned debate I will be happy to oblige. If they can't stand the heat then get out of the kitchen.On labor and those who "feed on the public trough" There are are abusers from firefighters to financial oligarchs. But one thing we should never forget especially today is “No work is insignificant. All labor that uplifts humanity has dignity and importance and should be undertaken with painstaking excellence.” The truth spoken by Martin Luther King.Popeye

Ron Brown (HGSI) has an excellent Weekend Market Report for your review. He shows how the movement of the dollar/euro effects the market.

http://www.highgrowthstock.com...

Also, the path we took in 2002 to 2007 left us with the two main drivers of the economy (the consumer and housing) crippled at a time when we desperately need a strong recovery and continued growth. Please continue to monitor the declines in “private debt” as the government debt continues to rise.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com...

Top Industry Groups for the past 10 days,compiled by HGSI, i.e. where the money went these past two weeks:

http://people.delphiforums.com...

Looking at the group chart above we see the oil, gas storage and transportation group top of the list. In the "Days Since" column we see a zero, that means the group turned back up today, Jan 13.

YSL 2012 member ENB  is a member of this group. ENB has been selling off hard these past few days. It turned up nicely with the group today, even though it opened down.

This shows a stock usually follows it's group and we must pay attention to the group.

Today's action with ENB might be a good buy the dip opportunity in the making.

Watch the chart!

Chemical Stocks - CORRECTED

My favorite high demand stocks picked up a move in the various chemical groups. Here are some stocks to look at this weekend.

Specialty Chemicals (7.00%, 7 securities)

    Albemarle Corp. (ALB)
    Ecolab Inc. (ECL)
    Lyondellbasell Industries Nv (LYB)
    Rockwood Holdings (ROC)
    Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW)
    Valspar Corp. (VAL)
    W.R. Grace & Company (GRA)

Diversified Chemicals (6.00%, 6 securities)

    DOW Chemical Company (DOW)
    E.I. Du Pont De Nemours And Company (DD)
    Eastman Chemical Company (EMN)
    Fmc Corp. (FMC)
    Huntsman Corp. (HUN)
    Ppg Industries (PPG)

 Commodity Chemicals (4.00%, 4 securities)

    Celanese Corp. (CE)
    Georgia Gulf Corp. (GGC)
    Methanex Corp. (MEOH)
    Westlake Chemical Corp. (WLK)

Stocks listed for discussion only, no buy/sell recommendations are suggested. I have no opinion on the charts.

Post deleted and move see Chemical Stocks Corrected.

There is a misconception that Romney thru Bain,practices Vulture Capitalism. A vulture feeds off of the vulnerable,the sick,injured or dying. The vulture helps maintain the overall health of the herd. It offers a biological service to the herd. That is not what Romney does. He practices Vampire Capitalism. He isn't interested in turning around a companies fortunes and making it vibrant and productive again. He swoops in to suck it dry. Anything he can get his hands on. It doesn't matter if the company is viable or not. He borrows enormous amounts of money and finds a way to park the dept there  on the company to use as an excuse to rip the company apart. Lay off the workers,sell off the tools and assets,sell off the physical plant. Drop the pension plan off on the federal gov. The vampire takes a viable business and sucks all the blood out of it leaving poverty ,crime,and social dysfunction in it's wake and putting a strain on gov.social services. It may be good for Bain but what Romney calls creative destruction is barbaric . It does not build civil society. It destroys it. Like any Vampire,it should be destroyed.. Romney's claim that he is a net job creator  is baloney. Making him president would be like putting a Vampire incharge of a Blood Bank. The more sunshine shined on him ,the better.

Some outstanding political posts today. I think you'll all be interested in this. Romney has corrected his position. http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

Jim

Amazing

Zackmaxx - Ditto what Paul said. Amazing!

Popeye

Well added to a few positions with that dip........I'm running on generator, lost power an hour ago, lovely wind today and it's snowing now.....glad I heat with coal!

Long term investors I haven't forgotten you. EUO remains my best recommendation. #2 I will buy any dip in oil as the USO nears 36. I promise more in Investors411 for you besides options and YSL 2012.

Options - I'm new to Option combination trading. But there are several important facts that I've discovered. #1If you are making a trade based on an event like a earning report. The closer to that report you buy the better the price. Options deteriorate in value. Example - Many of you got a much better price buying JPM puts and calls than I did. JPM than I did.

#2 There is almost always a major panic move in one direction at the open after the event. If you are not going to get the huge move - (an overall 50% or greater profit near open) you have to sell one side based on your expectation of of which way the stock will move and hope for the best on the other.

#3 if your expiration day is a week weeks away you can wait it out and hope for the best. But remember that options deteriorate in value.

#% NFLX is the best option combination trade on the horizon. But I'm waiting for a lower entry price before the earnings report.

Popeye,
I think most of our discussions are just BS. You have an anti business bias, and I have a pro bias, so no matter what we say, nothing will change. I live in a heavily Dem. state and really have no voice ( however, my district voted in Nan Hayworth, a TP, a plus ). Since NYS is a winner take all my vote is meaningless. Also, I can talk myself blue in the face, and you seem to ignore everything that I say that we may agree upon and try to ridicule me on what we disagree on. So why bother? Add to this, the fact that most posters on the political side are liberals who "preach to the Choir" and say "Amen", that I've learned nothing that I already new of importance.

I told you during the election why I was for Paladino and against Cuomo.  Already Cuomo has proven to be a fraud. One of his main points in his election was to cap real estate taxes. Sure, he did, with the "back door" that any district could easily back out, and many have already.  He has 68% approval because of so many uninformed voters, and so many public service workers and people on welfare  who depend on gov't  for income in NYS.  As more and more people who have ambition, leave NYS for greener pastures, more of those feeding at the gov't trough will comprise a greater percentage of the built in Dem vote. NYS has lost 2 House seats in this reapportionment, 10 house seats since 1970; NYS is on the way down, has been for a while. The main factor keeping NY afloat is Wall Street and we all know what's happening there. Cuomo has done nothing to stop this decline.

At one time, I thought you and I could have a serious political discussion, but no longer. I will now concentrate on the stock side of this blog.

JS

JS you declare "I have an anti business bias" and "
you have a pro business bias"

I don't judge a person by his race, gender creed or occupation. There are good business people and bad businesspeople. Good business practices and bad ones.

You have a clear bias against those "feeding at the gov't trough." 

Let's take the 911 unionized firefighter who died defending the people in the twin towers who was feeding at the gov't trough"  I think we got our money's worth with this guy.

Bad example you say. 

Let's take the lazy teacher who has achieved tenure and is not as good as her peers. That's more like it. She takes advantage of the system and cost's me tax dollars that might instead go to my Social Security or deficit reduction. The law or requirements for tenure ought to be more stringent or some other kind of evaluation instituted

She's "feeding at the gov't trough." Am I right?

Let's take a retired uber wealth businessman who may have had some questionable practices. The gov't allows him to live off those gains at a mere 15%. He too is "feeding off the gov't trough" just like the teacher. He should at least have to pay what the rest of us do. His tax dollars too might have gone to SS or deficit reduction.

He too is "feeding off the gov't trough" Am I right? or does he get special privileges because he was a businessman?

JS if you have a bias against a person because of his race, creed gender, occupation your right don't respond to me.

Popeye

Let

S&P downgrading Euro countries, all indexes down.

Profit is disappearing from many fast moving stocks.

JS - You seem to have a fixation that a high risk questionable business person is desirable.  

You backed Paladino in NY. He was  another  questionable Tea party  businessman. His opponent Cuomo now has an amazing +68% approval rating.Please defend your business choices Paladino and Romney.Popeye

All _ I'm out of the Put side to the JPM trade (all but 1 contract) at 59. Barr

Postscript - The initial slide down at the open happens too fast to announce this trade in advance. Sorry.

I have personally been through two of the of Gordon Gekko take overs where the wealthy buyers rake in enormous profits and the jobs get outsourced or eliminated. I will tell you exactly how this happens at a later date.. Let me assure you the emotions on that video of the victims are real.

Robert H

Robert - I look forward to your presentation.

Gingrich is toast because the Romney Super Pac is running far more slimy negative adds against him than he is against Romney.

Romney has created the formula for victory, Have your super Pac well funded and be as negative as possible.

We are destroying our democracy. The billionaires and corporate oligarchy are buying it with well financed negative adds.

We will all get the phony Romney flip flop trust me promises. In the end we too will be a country sucked dry, like Bain sucked so may companies dry to the bone.

Popeye

I have never heard Romney answer a single question about himself without deflecting the answer to an attack on Obamha. And when he does this, he seems to accuse him of his own dirty ambitions. This is called projection in psych terms. I would really like to see a professional psych report on Romney.
Part of projection is when we project things that we don't like or respect about ourselves onto another person. This way, we can attack those things without having to attack ourself or deal with it in ourself. This is a personality disorder that is often connected to Narcism. These people are incapable of feeling anything with regard to the pain they cause others. They are actually incapable of realizing that they are in fact narcistic. a scary possibility.
    

JPM Options Trade

For an options education, I have captured several screen shots of JPM’s options prices. I use ThinkOrSwimn (TOS) as my daily trading platform and it has excellent option capabilities. TOS has an excellent feature where one can go back in time several years and see “live time”: option prices on any specific date.

Dec 13  http://people.delphiforums.com...

Jan 11 http://people.delphiforums.com...

Jan 13 Pre Market http://people.delphiforums.com...

Jan 13 9:45 AM  Will be edited and added to this post about 10 AM

Here is a shot of option price JPM Jan 13 2:28 PM, I wanted to get a shot this AM but lost power and had to hook up the generator

http://people.delphiforums.com...

Thanks Paul some great potential resources for option trading. I will read them in detail ASAP. What would enhance these trades is if someone back checked how much each stock moved on the day after earnings for the last year.

More on the two bank JPM & GS Options combination trades Sorry I have not had time to go over this in more detail. I believe there is a bullish bias to this market. But now there are cracks in the banking rally. I am more apt to take profits on the put side of the JPM trade sooner rather than later and keep the calls. GS another huge investment bank is the backup to this trade.

Remember I am not an expert in this kind of trading.

Barr

Barr,

That I can do, I would need the symbol and release date.

I read that Gingrich video on "vulture capitalism" was created by a former group of Romney backers. Is this true?

I liked the comparison of Romney filling his pockets with job losses from Bain with Obama saving the auto industry in the USA.

EW