Investors 411 Blog

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Investors411 is [Mostly]

Taking a Break Today

But…

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From Stock tips to political Debate

The Comment Section is Open and

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This photo taken yesterday at

Fenway Park in Boston and

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View Full Size Photo HERE

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Spanish 10 Year Bond Rates

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The current #1 factor influencing US and world wide stock prices is how close Spanish Bonds prices are to 6.00%. This level has become a potent resistance level.

As of  7:21 EDT Spanish 10 years fell further to 5.80%. (Day/swing Traders – check out SB 10 year price if you want to trade on the expected poor opening – based on some less than stellar tech company earnings reports) There is some kind of major bond auction in Spain Thursday.

Longer Term – It must also be noted the the US 10 year bond is very low – This forces $ into stocks.

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Same Outlook as yesterday

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Why fighting for

Openness, Accountability

and Honesty

is the Good Fight

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Charles Ponzi

Corruption in Business

What Does It Cost?

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Very occasionally the crimes of the plutocracy become so transparent that despite all their lawyers and lobbyists they are caught

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A Rouges Gallery

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Charles Keating

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Keating’s  Savings and Loan debacle of the 1980′s. His company went from +781 million to -4.6 billion in one year. 5 Senators took $300,000 from Keating. By 1989 the estimated cost of the Keating scandal had reached $500 billion.

(Source Wikipedia – my guesstimate that about $2 trillion in today’s dollars.)

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Due to time considerations and the get a life factor -

I’m just going to list a few infamous plutocrats

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Ivan Boesky

Inspiration for Gordon Gekko movie

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Bernard Ebbers

World Com

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Dennis Koslowski

TYCO

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Richard Scrushy

Health South Corp.

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Ken Lay & Jeff Skilling

Enron

Most Plutocrats are NOT Caught

If They are, They Don’t Go to Jail

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Here a Long List from Wikipedia of more Scandals. Do Your own research you can find hundreds more.

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Legalized Theft

Banksta deregulation &

The 2008 Financial Meltdown

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What Investors411 supports is

Openness

Accountability

&

Honesty

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Right Wing’s Response

Declare War On

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Welfare Mothers

Who Cheat the System

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Who is the bigger cheat or

threat to

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• a meltdown in the Financial System.

• A devaluation of your home price

• Costing you a job

• Adding to the deficit.

• Cheating your stock investment

• Bringing on a recession/depression

• Taking your Democracy.

The Welfare mom

or the Plutocrats?

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STOCKS

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Sorry, Limited time this AM.

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• Spanish bonds  DOWN significantly (2.72%) to 5.905 at 8:30 EST. = Bullish

• GS had better than expected earnings report and raised dividend

• Biggest news is AAPL’s earnings report next Tuesday

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Reading Tea Leaves

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You’d think Central Banks would do everything possible to drive down Spanish bond yields early today.

We’ll See.

7.00% is the generally acceptable figure that a meltdown could occur. We got over those levels late last year several times, but it looked like we were out of the woods as rates fell below 5.00%.

Obviously, we are not at 7.00% yet. But the steady 6 week rally to the high of the year has spooked bankstas and their investors across the world.

It is simply beyond me to predict when, where, how or if, Central Banks will intervene. They have done so in the past – Investors411 refers to this as the cavalry coming to the rescue.

FYI – Bankstas are going to spin they are afraid of regulations. Therefore they got toasted. It could be that regulators have forced them to stop over leveraging so profits are less – but I doubt it.

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Above Expectations Earnings could mute some of the Panic over rising bond prices.

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• GOOG went nowhere on its earning report. JPM & WFC beat expectations (nothing outstanding) – LINK

• These are all major fundamentals that range from neutral (JPM) to very negative (China and more important)

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Reading Tea Leaves

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Not good stock news this AM so

If we can hold onto most of yesterday’s gains

its bullish

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Open, Honest &

Accountable

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Does It Matter?

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It’s YOUR Democracy.

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Should we have standards that demand openness, accountability, and honesty.

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Let’s Look at some examples

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The Food We Eat

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Should There be Standards?

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The Medicines We Take

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Should There be Standards?

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The Stocks We Buy

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Should There Be Standards?

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The Politicians we vote for

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Should There Be Standards?

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George Romney, Mitt’s Father, set the standard by disclosing 12 years of tax returns.

He was open, honest, accountable and had

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Nothing To Hide.

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Bankstas

Honest, Open & Accountable?

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Should There be Standards?…..

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Should the Banking Cartel have special –

• Too Big To Fail Banks?

• Unregulated $600 Trillion Exchanges?

• Their own Set of Accounting Rules?

PS – It’s hard to picture the polls, who rely on contributions from Big Banksta Cartel, throw Banksta friends in the Briar Patch

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What would make the budding Rally

turn into a

Stampede?

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A better than expected earnings forecast from

GOOG & JPM.

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GOOG reports after the bell today and JPM tomorrow before the bell. (WFC too)

Several of you are placing an expensive , but palatable, Put/Call option combination trade on GOOG with an expiration on the 21st, or in May. A JPM call seems palatable.

From Yesterday

“For those that can handle the risk

an opportunity to nibble.”

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Paul’s Corner

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A brief look at

Your Stock List

Most stocks on the list took a hit these past few days. If a stock is on the 17 or near the 17 it can be played market conditions permitting. If it “broke the 50” caution should be observed, and ideally not purchased until above the 50.

Check the charts!

CMG – Sitting on the 17

DLTR – broke the 17 but now sitting on the 17

ENBR – on the 50 and 17 basing

FAST – broke down through the 50

FL – above the 50, below the 17

HD – on the 17

IMAX  – breaking down, broke the 50 ALL HGSI indicators are red.

IBM between the 17 and 50

KLAC  – just below the 17

LEN – between the 17 and the 50

MC – on the 17

MNST – above the 17

SWI -  below the 50 and the 17

TSCO – above the 17

URI – broke the 50, all indicators are red

The Home Builders have been a good play these past few months and two ETF’s, ITB and XHB are a good alternative to the individual stocks.  So what’s the difference between the two?

A few days ago, (April 9) Dave Steckler author of the etfroundup.com blog that many of us read wrote the following about these two ETF’s:

“Let me give you another example.  Last Thursday I discussed a long trade signal in ITB, the home construction ETF.  ITB is offered by iShares.  Another big ETF player is Standard & Poors, which offers XHB, the SPDR homebuilders ETF.  So is there a difference between the two and does it matter which one you buy?  It does, which is why you need to drill, baby, drill down and do your research.

ITB keeps roughly two-thirds of its assets in home building stocks and one-third in home furnishings, plumbing suppliers and white goods appliance makers.  XHB on the other hand does the reverse, making the home-focused retailers and suppliers the primary focus and the home builders a secondary focus.  So even though “home construction” and homebuilders” sound like they’re the same thing, they’re not.  Do your homework!”

Blog Link

Which ETF to buy? As Dave suggests do your homework, look at the charts, check the underlying stocks.

Was this just a great buy the dip opportunity or the start of a few months of correction? As Dave Steckler suggests “we will know in the fullness of time!”.

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Skilled Businessmen

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‘

Reading Tea Leaves

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Every time (9) the MO has fallen below -60 for the last 3 years there has been (sometimes barely) a 5% rally in the S&P 500. before its fallen back down below its low.

-103 is pretty low, and the index has gone lower. But technicals tell us we are far closer to a low than a high.

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The bond rates still trump everything,

but they started a reversal today

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Short term Traders and Longer Term Investors

Tea Leaves seem to indicate

A reveral in trend.

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For those that can handle the risk

an opportunity to nibble.

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NB – Those that have fought the Fed and it’s #1 ally the European Central Bank have lost over the last three years.

I do NOT have inside information on what Central Banks are doing. But it does look like the ECB and friends who have committed over a trillion in liquidity to prevent Eurogeddon/A Black Swan Event, may have started to use some of that $$$ today.

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First  -  A Fun

Quiz

Slowly scroll down, because answers are on the bottom

(I got 9 of 14 right)

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Pass it on

Source and facebook link

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STOCKS

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Italy (Pictured Above)

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Eurogeddon is

One Step Closer

this AM

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Meltup in Bond Yields Continues

• Spain’s 10 year bond yield moving in concert with Italy. Up 2.99% to  5.92% (6:15AM EST)

We have a problem

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It sure looks like the

Central Banks are losing control

in Europe.

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Where The Hell is the

Cavalry???

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Old Faithful

The McCellan Oscillator

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• 6 month chart of MO. & a three year chart. Remember – The MO is best at calling tops and bottoms.  Check out the charts. Last dip was to - 85 in March, then -110 in November and then a 3 year low of -140 last April.

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Fundamentals Trump Technicals

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The Meltup in Bond Yields

Trumps our Bullish MO

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• US markets, especially AAPL, holding up surprising well, despite Europe’s troubles.

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Yes We Can

America*

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We scored another victory against

women haters an racists late last week

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The Influential Conservative Publication, National Review

fired

serial “misogynist” and “racist“

John Derbyshire last week.

It’s a free country and racists and women haters, have their right to free speech, but those of us who believe in equality have the right to fight back against their hatred.

The enlightened action by the National Review would never have come about unless we all had stood up against another public figure with a history of hatred toward blacks and women - Rush Limbaugh

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Derby is a Tuna compared

to the Great White Whale

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Now 67 Advertisers have pulled adds from Limbaugh’s show. (Walgreens the latest) Add this to the @100 who have said preemptively they would not advertise.

Limbaughs

20 Worst Racial Attacks

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Investors411.readers know why some people feel Limbaugh must continue to spew his vile hatred of women and blacks.

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Without Limbaughs millions of like minded haters,

right wing candidates would lose much of their support.

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Of course you all remember Romney’s Bain Capital

is one of the hidden owners behind Limbaugh’s network.

*Thanks to Yankee Bob for the term “Yes We Can America.”

Thanks to the National Review for firing Derbyshire and earlier MSNBC for suspending Ed Schultz for two mysogyist remarks. ..

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STOCKS

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Wall Street Bull and OWS Symbol

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Insight into how Investors411 evaluates stocks, markets and trends can be found in the STRATEGY Section of the blog.

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The Dreaded

Triple Whammy

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The Good News -  We are in the “Market Sells Off/ Outlook Deteriorates (closer to the end) of the cycle.

The Bad News - is three fundamentals have smacked down stocks across the world.

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1. A disappointing  US jobs report saw less jobs growth than the last three months and less than expected numbers (Expected – 180 to 200 k  jobs created. We got 120 k). Poor economics starts to bring on talk of Central Bank intervention.
2. CPI numbers out of China were worse than expected. (3.6 instead of 3.3) Greater chances of inflation mens less chance of intervention by their Central bank.
3. Italy and Spain bond yields are moving up this AM (see below)

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Mohamed El Erain

on with the markets

fixation on Central Banks liquidity

Mohamed is the #2 at the mother of all bond firms PIMCO.

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Another Strong fundamental

- Earnings Season –

Starts this week.

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Old Faithful

The McCellan Oscillator

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• 6 month chart of MO. & a three year chart. Remember – The MO is best at calling tops and bottoms.  Check out the charts. Last dip was to - 85 in March, then -110 in November and then a 3 year low of -140 last April.

• Not there yet, but we are getting down close to buy the dip territory.

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• Spain’s 10 year bond yield moving in concert with Italy.  5.76% (6:45AM EST)

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The Canary  Coughed.

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Vampire Squids

/

Investment Banks

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Question???

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Who would the

Vampire Squids

rather give a Loan to?

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A group of Terrorists

(Perhaps in the Sudan)?

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A Group or Country

That’s Rioting Now (Perhaps Spain)?

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American Small Business?

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If the Vampire Squid could avoid the negative publicity associated with their loan, who would they give their money to?

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Answer

It Doesn’t Matter

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The Vampire Squid/Investment Bank

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doesn’t give a damn.

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Their big profits does not from capitalism, but from money extraction for all kinds of loans –  From the terrorist’s credit card to a Europen student loan.

They take these loans in bundles and gamble them in the unregulated casino or $600 trillion dollar derivatives market.

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There is no reason to care what the quality if the loan is.

Only worry – The profit from

the commission and gambling

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Who Pays for the

Bailout or Financial Armegeddon

If A Too Big to Fail

Vampire Squid dies?

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Look deep into a Mirror

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Is This what you see?

But its coming.’.

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STOCKS

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Wall Street Bull and OWS Symbol

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Insight into how Investors411 evaluates stocks, markets and trends can be found in the STRATEGY Section of the blog.

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Eurogeddon???

Caution - Figures in Below Graphic are dated.

Therefore, NOT Accurate

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Our Long Long Term Bullish Bias

Becomes a bit shaky because of Europe

(see below)

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Old Faithful

The McCellan Oscillator

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• 6 month chart of MO. Remember – The MO is best at calling tops and bottoms. MO will get trumped if Spanish/Italian bonds continue to fall.

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• Spain’s 10 year bond yield rose significantly yesterday (4+%) and this AM (2+%) to 5.81% (6:45AM EST)

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From Yesterday

The Canary just Chirped.

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Paul’s Corner

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WHOOPS!

Um, Dow down 124, NASDAQ down 45, the S&P down 14, who exited the dance floor yesterday and left us standing there? A buy the dip opportunity or the start of the dreaded long overdue correction?

My good friend Ian Woodward posted a blog last evening discussing the current market and what to watch for.

LINK

As Ian suggests, yesterday was a major shot across the bow and is the second we have had in a matter of weeks.  He gives you APPL upside and down side targets. Please take a few minutes and read Ian’s blog.

YOUR Stock List

CMG – sitting on the 17, held up well yesterday.

DLTR – sitting on the 17, held up well yesterday.

ENB – chart starting to look attractive

FAST – dropped below the 17, its usual line of support, basing

FL – sitting on the 17, indicators turning red

HD – sitting on the 17, held up well yesterday.

IMAX – broke below the 50, HGSI indicators are red

IBM – closed on the 17

KLAC – dropped to the 17, its usual line of support

LEN – sitting on the 17, held up well yesterday.

MC – sitting above the 17, held up well yesterday.

MNST – sitting on the 9, held up well yesterday.

SWI – closed below the 17 and above the 50, this is a high beta stock

TSCO – good chart action yesterday, didn’t even know a correction was going on.

URI – sitting on the 17

Personally I’m going to sit out the next few dances on the market dance floor until we have a clearer idea of market direction. Too many times in instances like we are sitting, I have lost a few toes for venturing out onto the dance floor when the elephants were leaving.

As Ian suggests “Net-net, tomorrow (today) will be a key day with regard to where we sit for this Rally…It is at the crossroads.”

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Europe’s Coming Recession

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Eurogeddon?

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What worked – You saw Bernanke /Obama stimulate the USA Economy and lead the world  out of the feared “economic armageddon” of the Great Recession.

What’s not - Now we are watching European governments act, just like Republicans, introducing austerity measures way too soon and drive their economies into recession.

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England & the EU are the

World’s Largest economic Entity

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Therefore, It’s Recession or Possible

Eurogedden

Will Impact The World

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The Warning

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Paul Krugman

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Nobel Prize Winner – Paul Krugman – Has warned has warned of Europe’s impending doom in a series of editorials. The latest on 1/30, 1/31, 2/6, 2/18, 3/7 - Link Here if you’d like to read warnings

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The Problem is European Leaders have

committed their people to

Sever Fiscal Austerity

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Europe’s got the monetary (Introduce more liquidity) part right, but they are dramatically slashing budgets way too early.  Here’s some early GDP results.

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Observe what’s happened in the last Year to GDP

Compare with the USA

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You can use ANY European Country

and compare last years results with the USA.

We go up.

They at best go down slightly

At worst dramatically down

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DANGER WILL ROBINSON

DANGER DANGER

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It’s Time to Bring out the old “Lost in Space Robot” with all his flashing lights, and flapping arms and warn of impending long term doom.

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The Downward GDP Trend in Europe is CLEAR

The Upward GDP Trend in the USA is CLEAR.

Europe can drag the rest of the world down with it.

or

The US can drag Europe up with it.

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The Solution has always been clear

to Investors411 readers

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Before you turn the deficit hawks loose you stimulate, create jobs, and make sure the recession is behind you.

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Bottom Line

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Its impossible to call the tipping point in Europe, a day, a month a year?

But its coming.

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STOCKS

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Wall Street Bull and OWS Symbol

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Insight into how Investors411 evaluates stocks, markets and trends can be found in the STRATEGY Section of the blog.

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Headline

Eurogeddon

Caution – Figures in Below Graphic are dated.

Therefore, NOT Accurate

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Therefore, Our Long Long Term Bullish Bias

Becomes a bit shaky because of Europe

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Bottom Line - The Central Banks still Rule, but the question of a deeper European recession will now get factored into stock prices. Unfortunately it looks worse than most predict.

Increased budget cuts are plunging Europe into a deeper recession.

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Old Faithful

The McCellan Oscillator

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• 6 month chart of MO. Remember – The MO is best at calling tops and bottoms.

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the Canary just Chirped.

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