“He Saved More Lives Than Anyone in Human History”

AP Photo by Bill Meeks

Nobel Prize winner Norman Borlaug died Saturday and American Corporate media ignored the passing of a man who “fostered a movement that save up to a billion lives.” Borland won the Nobel Peace Prize for fighting Hunger

Borlaug grew up on an Iowa farm and developed a type of wheat that helped feed the world. It’s interesting who American media chooses to honor with headlines. You can rad more about “The Father of the Green Revolution” here & here HERE

If our plant survives, Borlaug is one of those name will be remembered.

Your Doctor Accepts Heath Care Reform

A 2000 physician survey published in the prestigious New England Journal of Medicine LINK shows 73% “were willing to accept limits on reimbursement for expensive drugs and procedures for the sake of expanding access to basic health care.” This is quite a remarkable stat since this means a pay cut for doctors.

Can you imagine  the Gordon Gekko’s of Wall Street, your basic American politician, Shadow Bank executives, the Insurance Industry, the Pharmaceutical companies, & the Military Industrial complex taking the same stand?

Bank Robbers

(see Bottom Line below in red )

STOCKS

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING!

Index Percentage % Volume
Dow +0.22% up
NASDQ +0.52% down
S&P500 +0.62% up
Russell2000 +1.08% -

Investors411 record – 4 1/2 years of beating benchmark S&P 500

(see results for last 1/2 year – click  6/25 & scroll down)

  • Brown = repeat statements
  • Green = usually bullish statements
  • Red = Usually bearish statements

Technicals and Fundamentals

Obama spoke at noon yesterday and threatened reforms to fix the problems that cause the economic meltdown – Markets rallied – To put it bluntly – the rally was basically Wall Street laughing out loud over fear of his reforms. Wall Street owns far too many politicians, including those in his administration to worry.

Bottom Line – A bank robber steals from a bank and you catch him. He gets punished. A shadow bank top executive steals from a bank in a ponzi scheme and you give him more money or else he will shut down his bank and no one will have any money. Perhaps shadow bank executives lost a small, portion of his/her wealth when the bank’s stock dropped, and a few top dogs lost their jobs – but, so far, that’s all folks.

Fearless forecast for this week - Down early, as dollar stabilizes and fears of regulation (see below/above). But, rallies are getting bought into. So prediction is for another positive week. Repeat – this current rally is based on the dollar falling – Best read of tea leaves is for the oversold dollar to rally for at least a day or two.

Mantra - Protectionism is the great danger to worldwide economic recovery. A trade war especially between the USA and China would be about a big a hit to any recovery.  Yesterday – US and China are “bickering over tires and chickens,” This kind of news should have hurt stocks, but did not. LINK = Bullish when stocks react positively to bad news. However something to watch for further developments.

——–

Significant forecasting tools/Indexes for stock markets

(Besides #1 Volume & #2 Reaction to News)

BDI The Baltic Dry Index measures the flow of goods by price (world trade) It looks like we could be forming another lower high and that would reinforce the mid term bearish pattern . The BDI has leveled off and started to rise over the last few weeks. BDI fell a minor -17 Monday. BDI trading at 2451 and has recently formed a resistance level at 2388. Would not trust any rally, especially in foreign exporting countries if the BDI breaks down below this number.

Each day this still looks more like a base has been formed above a key support level Longer flat bottoms and slowly moving higher/lower is usually indication of, at least, a short term bottom-Bullish short term outlook for BDI and we have certainly recovered from the devastating lows of Dec./Jan. 2388 is number to watch

The BDI is 41% off its high (early June) Before that it gained almost +170% from early April to Jun e

——-

$USD - Check out the 6 month chart (to the left) or a multi year chart of the US dollar of the US dollar.

One big reason Investors411 is currently  focusing more on US equities (XLF & SPX ) is because of the drop in the dollar making foreign exports more expensive in the US and US exports less expensive abroad. However, On the whole an orderly/slow drop of the dollar helps US markets and a case can be made that it helps worldwide recovery.

The dollar has fallen 6 days in a row.  It fell less again yesterday, but still dropped a small -0.07% yesterday. Dollar trading at $76.61. Rate of fall has slowed dramatically and it looks like a short term reversal is likely. 

Mantra Dollar up = US stocks down & Dollar down = US stocks up

Last year’s low was around $71, so there is a long way to go before the next major support level.

One major downside – The falling dollar shows a lack of confidence in the USA


Positions

The whole Positions Section has been revised (Click on “Positions” at top of blog). Check it out

Added another 5% to portfolio of  SPX (at 1038)


Long Term Outlook = CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

See Changes in STRATEGY, POSITIONS, & OVERVIEW sections of blog

AS ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING!

  • Share/Save/Bookmark