Investors 411 Blog

by Barr Jozwicki
July 15, 2012

Recession/Deficit Solutions

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , ,

.

The Greatest Economists of the 20th Century

Agreed that you Stimulate Your way Out of a

Recession

.

.


Solutions to The Deficit

Stimulus or Austerity

(Part 1)

.

The  Outstanding Success of

The Obama Stimulus

.

.

Why Stimulus Works

&

Austerity Doesn’t

.

The Obama Stimulus cost $787 billion.

Our national debt is @ $15 trillion.

A 5.2% one time addition to our debt.

.

.

Under Obama & his Stimulus

Job growth went from -800,000 to +300,000

GDP went from -8.9% to +3.9%. = +12.8%

.

Millions of jobs

created millions of taxpayers

& the GDP expanded.

Taxes paid by those with jobs

REDUCE the deficit

year after year after year…

.

Everything was working until

*The Stimulus ran out

*The Austerity/Banksta Republicans

won the House of Representatives

&

*Obama, himself, put more focus on

austerity instead of stimulus

.

.

Republican blocked virtually every

stimulus/jobs growth plan.

&

Had to be dragged kicking and screaming

for even a payroll tax cut

.

********************

.

Let’s see what happens to

the deficit

when Banksta/austerity

gain even more control.

.

.

Examples – Austerity as a Solution

The European countries in economic trouble.

Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, & Spain

.’

.

Ireland’s “free market” economy was

the goal of every Banksta in America.

The Baking Industry had “captured government”

Regulators were no where to be found.

Then Something Hit the Fan

.

.

Ireland was the first country to impose

The Austerity Solution

.

The Deficit

Exploded Higher

.

Ireland Government Debt To GDP

.

Ireland’s unemployment rate exploded

from 4.6% in 2008 to 14.3% today

..

IRELAND with Austerity

A 311% INCREASE in Unemployment

A 433% INCREASE in Debt to GDP

.

In Hard Economic Times

Austerity = More Debt

..

.

More Examples

The Other 4 Troubled European Countries

who have adopted the austerity solution.

All have

Debt to GDP ratios that are still exploding higher

All  have unemployment still exploding higher

For data on these countries see this LINK

.

Next Blog – Common Sense works, Regulated Banking works, When Austerity works, Those plutocrats that don’t give a damn, but say they do – More Solutions.

FINIS


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July 2, 2012

Miracles Happen

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,

.

Last Week – Two Major

Unexpected Events


.

.

That are potential

Tipping Points

for Future Trends

..

.

Germany’s Stunning

Reversal

The German Parliament by a stunning 4 to 1 margin

approved a Spanish & Italian $120 million bailout,

.

WITHOUT NEW AUSTERITY

MEASURES

.

Stock Markets Across the World Rocket Higher

USA up @2.5%, Germany up @5.7% on Friday

European markets up a bit less than 1% this AM

.

Andrea Merkel German Chancellor

.

.

“Austerity is like a farmer saving money by not

watering his crops as they die in a drought”

Thanks to frequent Blogger

George Norboe

for the above concept.

Link to this and other comments over EU bailout

Here [Scroll Down]

.

***************

.

ObamaCare Upheld

Latest News on Robets’ Switch

.

.

Analysis of Both Events

.

EU Bailout

.

  • Stocks – Obviously a game changer, especially if stock markets hold of add to gains today.
  • Italy and Spain are too big to fail, = Eur0zone collapse. Greece is not & they are going to be angry.
  • Italy & Spain more a a fiscal banking crisis (like the USA) than Greece
  • Major win for Democracy – A Eurozone collapse would be a disaster.
  • A win for Obama. His candidacy would have been toast because a collapsing Eurozone would echo here.
  • Obviously – No solution for regulating the over leveraging of too big to fail banks.

.

Affordable Health Care Act

.

  • Stocks – A non event for US Stock markets – Markets end day (Thursday) slightly higher.
  • Money/Stock prices speaks louder than words. The markets may not always be right & Obamacare will be fear mongered to voters, but stocks have told you there is NO negative economic impact.
  • Hospital Stocks rally 5+% Biggest US hospital chain HCA 14+%
  • No longer will emergency rooms be stuffed with uninsured freeloaders. They will be part of system or suffer a penalty.YOUR hospital costs should get reduced.
  • It’s a step toward joining the rest of the world’s democracies and Massachusetts (scroll down) in a better & more cost effective health care system
  • If Obamacare is OK as a tax, so is Medicare and Social Security – This should be the first words on every Democrat’s lips every time the far right brings up this issue.

.

***************

.

STOCKS

.

.

Short term – Hopeful, of bullish bias (see above) till earnings season – Starts end if next week.

If stocks can hold onto or add to Friday’s gains today/this week – its positive for US stocks

.

Long Term Outlook

Upgrade to

.

NEUTRAL

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.



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June 21, 2012

YOUR Stock List wins again

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , ,

.

“The Great Latvia

Success Story”

.

.

LINK

to 1 minute 27 sec.

comedy video

.

AUSTERITY

WORKING?

.

Latvia, unlike other countries

[scroll down at link for this chart]

may have found a solution

.

Finally a country

where Tea Party styled

mandated austerity

has NOT lead to

has led to  a massive growth

in unemployment

.

Latvia’s unique solution

.

********************

.

YOUR Stock List

.

.

Paul

.

.

has published the results

of the latest

YOUR Stock List

in the comments section of the blog.

.

The YSL’s started in April & May are

both outperforming the S&P 500

.

LINK

.

Kudos

to all of you who helped

create the list and share investment

ideas in the comment section

of the blog

.

*****************


JPM & Kleptocracy

Fat Cat Bankers

.

.

An excellent and informative

debate on JPM in comment section

LINK [scroll down]

who may have taken over the spot

as head vampire squid from GS

.

.

More on this in the next

411

.

*******************

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STOCKS.

.

.

Stimulus Works

.

FED announcement of continuing “Operation Twist” till end of year,

ECB’s $125 billion to Spain,

and rumors of more stimulus from Central Banks

is forcing

HOT MONEY

[NB -If you invest or trade the markets you must

know what "HOT MONEY" means and learn to

follow its flow]

to find a place to go

where the interest rate

isn’t near zero.

.

That place is the

Stock Market

Our Spanish 10 year bond, after several months as an accurate forecasting tool, stumbled last week.

Still  the bond rate is falling significantly this AM ( Down 3.22% to 6.53% at 8:00 EDT) = Short term Bullish

.

Spanish 10 year bond yield link

.

Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

NEUTRAL

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

as head .

..



.



.



.



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June 16, 2012

One Minute to Midnight

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,

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Did YOU ever think

your fellow Americans

would approve of a

Macow gambling magnet

buying

YOUR Democracy?

.

.

Sheldon Adelson

$35 million so far, next

$100 million and now

“Limitless”

.

In Syria, Iran, Russia

and other so called

Democracies

We label the Plutocrats

who buy/finance the so

called “President” as

.

EVIL

.

In the US a

Plutocrat/Gambling czar

who wants to buy a

President

is a Businessman

and business is worshiped

by many Americans

.

_____________

.

JPMorgan’s

CEO Jamie Dimon

went in front of congress

for a massive

“trading loss”

/

.

Politicians from all sides

“Groveled” *

in front of a

“corporate overlord”

.;

Many have enjoyed

the CEO’s $$$


.

.

The Hidden Story is

the constant

revolving door between

Government, The Fed and

our Corporate masters

.

$4,000,000,000,000

.

That’s how much

Jamie Dimon &

17 other CEO’s received

in (near 0% interest) loans

from our Fed Reserve

.

.

Those 18 CEO’s first

WORKED

for the FED before

getting the $4 trillion

The LIST


.

*******************

.

“One Minute To Midnight

For Democracy”

.

.

“This Time Europe

Really is on the Brink”

.

Only a few economists

predicted the 2008

financial Meltdown:

.

Roubini and Ferguson’s

ominous editorial

against imposing austerity

on Europeans

..

LINK to results of

4 years of austerity in

Portugal, Ireland, Spain,

Greece, and Italy

.

Plunging GDP &

Employment

.

Another chart below

on the future AUSTERITY

brings

.

.

Romney’s economist

Glenn Hubbard takes

the Banksta’s side

In Germany’s WSJ

.

_____________

.

Big Victory

For Banksta’s

Basel III

.

.

Basel III was supposed

to give the world

better banking regulations

NB – In cartoon –

Same casino capitalism reference to Las Vegas

.

******************

.

Democracy in Europe

and the USA

is getting shredded

.

The middle class

is evaporating

.

Latest – Between 2007 & 2010

median income dropped from

$49,600 to $45,800 in the USA

.

Bankstas get the Gain

You get the Pain

.


.

*Many thanks to Jim J for the Heads up on the Matt Taibbi editorial

FINIS

..




.

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June 11, 2012

Cavalry to the Rescue?

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , ,

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Cavalry To the Rescue?

.

.

Mea Culpa

Sunday’s blog focused on the negatives

surrounding the Massive $126 billion ECB

Spanish bailout with just a postscript of what

should happen to stocks =

Major Rally

.

Charge

.

.

  • The $126 Billion dwarfs the size of the 2008 US bank bailout, if you consider Spain’s 1/10th the economic size of the USA
  • The far more than expected $$$ shows the ECB will do whatever it takes to keep Spain in the ECB.
  • Spain (GDP) is almost 5 times larger than Greece and, therefore, far more important
  • NO AUSTERITY Measures were made as conditions for the loan. The ECB finally seems to understand…

.

The Clear and present Danger

to  economic recovery is

[US Tea Party agenda]

.

AUSTERITY

.

.

Austerity Creates Unemployment

The more sever the cuts the greater the unemployment

.

It’s impossible for a country with

growing joblessness

to sustain an economic recovery

[Exception - If you do have a growing plutocracy

they could pay down the debt]

Chance of this – When hell Freezes Over

.

.

*********************

.

Worshiping The Wealthy

.

THE MYTH

Giving rich people your money

will make you wealthy

.

Nick Hanauer

Part 2 – See part 1 here

.

..

Click on Photo for link to an

Outstanding

short video on

Job Creation

.

Follow up to YOUR

comments and questions

on the Video

.

Why Cutting Taxes for

the Middle Class – CUSTOMERS

Creates far more

Jobs & revenue

that Cutting Taxes for a

plutocrat

.

Take 300 middle class families Making $ 65,000 a year. @$20,000,000.

Their money flows. They spend it on the plumber, groceries, gas, home repairs, baby sitters. Almost all their money goes quickly and directly back into the economy and this creates JOBS. Say 90% goes directly into job creation

Take the Plutocrat who makes $ @20,000,000 a year

Their money stagnates. They invest it in currencies, stocks (High Frequency Trades, Hedge Funds, Swiss Bank accounts) etc. A Far smaller portion of their money flows directly into the economy. Say 10% goes directly into job creation.

If the Plutocrat earns his money through Investments he/she/Romney is taxed far less than those who work.

We, therefore, punish workers and reward plutocrats who sit on their stagnant money.  Our government also collects far less revenue from the single plutocrat than the 300 middle class workers.


.

*******************

.

STOCKS

.

What started out as a massive rally in Europe (Up over 2%), is fizzling as surprisingly, after opening lower -

.

Spanish Bond yields are rising

.

Spanish 10 year bond at

6.40% at 8:00 AM EST

.

Still on cusp of change to NEUTRAL – Spanish bond would have to close below 6.25% and/or below Friday’s low for a change to NEUTRAL.

.

Reading Tea Leaves

Is $126 Billion too small?


.


Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

NEUTRAL/

CAUTIOUSLY BEARISH

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.







.

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June 10, 2012

Privatize Gains/Socialize losses

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,

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Yogi Berra

.

Deja Vu

All Over Again

.

.

$126 Billion Spanish

Bailout

.

The US economy’s GDP

is over 10X

Larger than Spain’s.

Therefore, relatively, this is an

.

OMG massive

$1.26 Trillion Bailout

.

Ours was mere $700 billion.

.

____________

.

Banksters

..

Privatizing Gains

Socializing Risk

in Spain

.

.

When Eurozone was Introduced the regulators

allowed banks to buy unlimited amounts

of government bonds

without setting aside any equity capital”

.

Sound Familiar?

In 2004 our SEC allowed US Banks

to become massively over leveraged too.

.

Banksters didn’t care. They could

extract money from bundled loans

and profit by selling them on the

opaque derivatives market

.

_____________

.


411′s Most used image of

Banksters

The Vampire Squid

.

.

The Truth

Whose Really Getting

Bailed Out

.



Banksters & Plutocrats

across the world

get Bailed out

.

But since the derivatives

market is opaque,

who knows?

.

____________

.

Spain’s

Housing/Financial Bubble

began to pop in 2007/2008

just like the USA.

.

AUSTERITY

[Cut spending, No bailout for middle class, Raise taxes]

was introduced as the solution

the result -

Job loss, recession and

worse yet to come

.

.

Small consolation -

At least, now, the ECB

is demanding NO new

AUSTERITY

measures with this bailout

.

Spain, has already been

driven onto poverty.

Unemployment has

already gone from

8% to 24+%

.

.

Postscript

.

Obama is NOT a

Teddy Roosevelt -

A President that stood

up to Plutocrats/Banksters

.

.

However, Obama did stimulate,

cut taxes and again forced an

additional payroll tax cut.

.

Imagine if

we followed Austerity

instead of Stimulus

.

Our unemployment has NOT

exploded from 8% to 24%

.

For a Real SOLUTION

see Robert H’s

editorial/comment

.

Obviously, we should see

major worldwide stock

rallies

Monday


Finis



.


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June 4, 2012

Money Flows & Grows

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , ,

.

Money Grows

When You know

How it Flows

.

.

The European Union

.

Andrea Merkel/Germany

.

.

.

Andrea Merle – NEIN

.

Andrea Merkel has said NEIN to any

compromises

that would allow the ECB

(European Central Bank)

to stimulate and rescue the EU, like our Fed.

See - Bernanke Hero/Villain

.

George Soros

[Left Wing]

on Euro crisis

&

3 Months to save the EURO

.

.

.

“You can NOT

reduce the debt burden

by shrinking the economy,

only by growing your way out of it”

.

Nobel Prize Winner

Milton Friedman

[Right Wing]

LINK

.

.

“buy long-term

government securities [today's QE]

and they can keep buying them

and providing high-powered money

until the high powered money starts

getting the economy

in an expansion.”

.

Even this President

Ronald Reagan

.

.

when confronted with a

minor Recession chose stimulus

He added more government jobs

.

.

Why doesn’t Austerity work when

a country/World is in recession

.

If you are having a tough time, you tighten your belt and spend less.

But what happens to a country where everyone tightens their belt?

Everyone spends less and the GDP goes down because no one is buying. Money stops flowing. Unemployment explodes higher and fewer are able to pay taxes.

.

No matter how angry you are at

those in debt or the banksters,

that anger just clouds your mind

.

The AUSTERITY Solution

to recover from a Recession

Does NOT work.

.

This is happening

throughout Europe

as the bankers/banksters/Merkel

who own the debt & derivatives

on the debt demand

only austerity.

.

********************

.

Paul’s Corner

.

.

You Were Warned!

.

This Saturday in the comments section, I suggested y’all review Ron Brown’s Weekend Report. It’s an excellent review of the current market and Ron gave examples of simple chart actions that you should review and understand a head and shoulder top and the bear flag.

Ron’s Weekend Market Report:

Ron explained the head and shoulder chart formation and he shows the breakdown of the neck line on May 4, which was a nasty day in the market.

So, what does one bad day have to do with the value of my portfolio? Barr always suggests we buy the dip!

As we look back now, that break down through the neck line was a good warning and I’ll wager my 1 share of FB, the big boys were unloading stock from that point on. If you observe and understand a simple chart formation such as the head and shoulders top, next time you see one you might start protecting your portfolio!

After watching Ron’s movie, I took a look back at that May 4 date using my EdgeRater program to see what sort of warning shot we received.

.

http://people.delphiforums.com/SNOTZALOT/may4kahunaresized.gif

.

The top circled line in the chart shows how the various indexes, S&P 500, NYSE, Dow 30, etc. moved down roughly 30% down through their Bollinger Bands in one day, we had a Kahuna!.  My good friend Ian Woodward warns that when you have a Kahuna with a 3 bucket down day (down 30%) sit up and take notice! A -30% move down in the Bollinger Band is serious!

From Ian’s last blog:

Kahuna (Little and Big) The Kahuna indicator measures volatility and momentum by looking at the one-day change in %B. The Big Kahuna is a 1-day change in %B of plus/minus 0.40. A Little Kahuna is a 1-day change in %B of plus/minus 0.24. Big Kahunas are signs of strong momentum (either up or down) and work well with the Eureka signal to identify tops and bottoms.

In the comments section from May 7, I suggested a review of Ian’s blog from the evening before where he discussed in detail the previous Friday’s 30% decline in the indexes position in their Bollinger Bands. Please review this blog!


Ian’s May 7 Blog Link:

So, we had a major shot across the bow May 4 and what do we see this past Friday? Another red Kahuna! This one was not quite as strong as the May 4 Kahuna, but it’s still a major move not to be ignored.  As Ron suggests in his Weekend Report, this past Friday’s down volume wasn’t large enough to be considered a “bottom” in the market. (Good grief!)

So my friends we were warned a month ago, just by looking at the charts, gloom and doom were knocking at the door. The charts probably indicate we haven’t hit bottom, are you protecting your grandkids inheritance or have you purchased another bottle of Tums?

Breaking news, added Sunday evening, as one would expect, Ian spent Sunday writing a great blog discussing the state of the market and what to watch for. It’s a must read!

The rest is up to you depending on your stomach:  Foxhole, Short, Dabble, but wait for the QUALITY of the Bounce if you are already out, using these concepts to stay on the right side of the Market.  Don’t forget we need Eurekas and Kahunas to the upside. No excuse now after my last blog note of a Glossary of Terms used.

Ian’s Blog Sunday June  3:

Disclaimer, these comments were written Sunday morning and are intended for education only. As we all know, by the open Monday morning all bets and suggestions are off!

Tums?

.

.

*********************

.

Stock markets and Economies

are more

globalized  and interconnected

than ever

.

.

The World’s Largest Economic Block

- The European Union –

is leading worldwide stocks lower.

.

  • 411 uses the yield of the 10 year Spanish bond as a leading indicator of market direction – Our canary in a Coal mine. – Bond yield up = stocks down
  • On 3/2 Spanish bond hits a low of 4.87%, in mid April it tries to hold its 6.0% resistance level and in Early May breaks up through the 6.0% resistance. (see chart Below)
  • All major markets, that are interconnected through trading and especially banking, are fixated on Europe’s slow meltdown

No changes in LTO

till Spanish bonds close

below at 6.25%.

.

Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

CAUTIOUSLY BEARISH

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.



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May 31, 2012

Assaults on Democracy

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

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Remote Control

.

.

How YOU are CONTROLLED

Framing & Buying

Democracy

(A Multi Part Series)

.

The US Supreme Court Passed

The infamous Citizens United by

a 5 to 4 vote.

.

.

ALL 5 votes for changing

the laws governing elections

were made by

RIGHT WING

Justices

.

.

As Democracy Withers

.

“Ask NOT what you can

do for your country”

.

Ask What  price  that

Politician or Media Outlet

can be bought for.

.

How Easy is it to Form a Corporation?

.

Any Plutocrat with $49

can form a Corporation and

.

  • Create A Super PAC
  • Give Unlimited Contributions
  • Give Hidden Contributions
  • Coordinate with Political Candidates
  • Buy YOUR Democracy

LINK for more Info

.

******************

.

A more Transparent & Bloody

Assault on Democracy

.

.

Syria

.

  • Latest from correspondent within Syria at BBC


.

*******************

.

STOCKS

.

.

.

Cartoonist forgot the Irish Iceberg

Otherwise accurate & ominous

.

The EU is the world’s great

hope for Democracy.

.

You have to have a functioning Democracy to join. One wonders if the USA would now qualify in light of  our Supreme court’s Citizen’s United decision.

.

Timeline of Known Events

Impacting Stocks

.

  • Irish Elections this week
  • 1st Friday in June – US unemployment figures.
  • June 7th – Important meetings in EU
  • June 17th Greek elections
  • June 19th & 20th – Our Fed meets.

.

Austerity

.

The world may be finally waking up to the fact that this whole ultra right wing/tea party concept of

.

Austerity NOW  presents

a far greater risk of

.

DEPRESSION

.

rather than

a simple solution.

.

In fact those cans that that are supposed to be insecticide in the cartoon should be considered food supplements instead.

.

Our Canary In a Coal Mine

Stock Market(s) Barometer

.

.

The Canary may not be Dead Yet

But the yield on the 10 year Spanish bond

is rising close to the 7.00% Danger Zone.

.

Today  a huge drop – LINK

6.45% at 8:20 EDT

.

So Stocks should rally

.

NB.- Paul has picked up on the fact that AAPL rose yesterday, despite a stock  meltdown.


****************

.

No changes in LTO till Spanish bonds close below at least 6.25%.

.

Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

CAUTIOUSLY BEARISH

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.


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May 7, 2012

Hope for the Future?

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,

.

Hope for the Future

.

.

Teachers/Heroes

.

Friday’s employment report had one critical fact,

The number of private sector jobs

since the start of 2009 is back in the black

.

The big job losses are coming

in the public sector & its major component is

Teachers

.

Just the Facts

.

Public employment chart Clinton / Bush / Obama

.

Note – The blip higher in @ month 16 is due to census workers. Job losses are at the Federal, State and Local level.

.

Public Sector Jobs Created

Clinton = +625,000

Bush = +825,oo0

Obama = -600,000

.

American Austerity

.

Paul Krugman - New York Times Blog

“If public employment had grown the way it did under Bush, we’d have

1.3 million more government workers,

and probably an unemployment rate of

7 percent or less

..


.

  • As Obama’s stimulus program ran out, so did local funding for state,federal and local public officials.
  • The USA was already falling relative to the rest of the world in education even before this.

.

Swimming Without a Suit

.

.

Tom Friedman’s

2009 Editorial on education

.

“From 1950 to 1980… we still had the lead in education…now we are 24th in science and 25th in math out of 30 countries.”

.

.

Our hope to regain our leadership in education has been crushed since 1980 Republican takeover.

Grover Norquist who wants to reduce  government to the size of a bathtub and drown it, has made Republicans, including Romney, take no new takes pledges even for the wealthiest Americans

.

Our stock market gains 100%

in the last 4 years.

Yet the right trys to take away even the right

of teachers (cops and firefighters etc)

to have collective bargaining.

.

Our Future

.

.

Is there a bright future

if we keep forcing

austerity on education?

.

Solid editorial and inspiration for above – Public Job Losses And GOP Chutzpah by Alec McGillis.

.

.

*******************

.

STOCKS

.

.

Trends

.

.

Headlines

.

  • Greece takes center stage. Huge unexpected toasting by anti austerity voters. Stocks in Greece down 7% this AM. The ruling center left/right party got only 32% of the vote.
  • Most troubling for stocks short term is the rise of far right (pro nationalist) and left groups who are opposed to the sever austerity measures.
  • Since 2008 when austerity measures first started Greece’s employment rate has exploded from 8% to 21%

.

.

How the Hell is a country

supposed to get the

revenue to pay its deb if you

increase unemployment

by over 160%

.

Massive Austerity

creates more problems

than it solves.

.

  • Spanish 10 year Bond Rates [411 uses this as a critical measurement of European/world stock market stability] are remaining relatively stabile considering the news. Yield up to 5.81% at 6:00 AM – Not near 6.0% danger zone. So there is NO big panic.
  • German market down 2% this AM.
  • McCellan Oscillator [411 very successful technical tool in market direction - Tops/bottoms] fell to -27.97.  Range for last 6 months is -100 to +60.  MO in middle of range so lots of room for MO to move up or DOWN =  NEUTRAL

.

____________

.

Reading The Tea Leaves

.

..

From Friday – “Major Question remains

Can the US market Rally despite the problems

in just about every other major world market?

.

Answer in US stock market today

will probably be NO

.

.

The Cavalry/Fed/Central Banks

.

The long term stability trend

in Europe is worsening.

.

Who knows how extensive giant “too big to fail” banks are involved in the unregulated opaque derivatives market on European/Greek debt?

.

You can emphasis

balanced growth/jobs

or austerity

.

Austerity is leading to chaos

.

Too many times the can gets kicked down the road in Europe. Each deal on debt according to the voters is too structured in favor of banks or the holders of that debt.


Certainly a liquidity injection by our Fed would help. So would restructuring debt and providing jobs. Who knows how far too big to fail banks can bend? Who knows how far the opaque derivatives market is over leveraged?

.

*************************

.

Paul’s Corner

.

.

Short Paul’s Corner today, from posts I made this weekend in the comments section for your review:

Your Stock List week one results: LINK

– Steve Gerritz’s Blog:

The rally that began on Dec.19th 2011 has run out of steam. The market is now going sideways in a very choppy manner.

http://stephengerritz.blogspot.com/2012/05/daily-market-snapshot-05-04-2012.html?

- Ron Brown’s weekend video market report:

The NASDAQ was down 2.25% yesterday, but it not yet broken support at

the 2950 level.  Until support is broken at the close, a lower high is

not in place. In spite of the negative day, there were some winners

among the Box Stocks.

Ron does good chart analysis on AAPL and points out a few new stocks to add to the watch list.

LINK

- I often suggest reading Ian Woodward’s latest blog.  Ian posted a doozie this weekend.  He hands you the nuts and bolts of where this market is, where it may be going and what you need to watch for. This is one of Ian’s best and it’s brought to you in living color with every bit of wit and wisdom Ian has to offer.

If you are the least bit serious about your grandchildren’s inheritance this is required reading!

LINK

All of the above for education only!

.

*******************

.

Spanish Bond yield over 6.0% =  NEUTRAL

Under 6.0% = CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

Oil Prices fell another 4% Friday – Outlook Downgraded to NEUTRAL

.

Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

NEUTRAL

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

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April 30, 2012

A Big Wet Kiss

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

A Big Wet Kiss


BFF – The Love Grows

.

.

China Totalitarian Regime

&

America’s Corporate Plutocrats

.

_______

.

Two behemoths are moving so close together

its hard to tell them apart

.

.

APPL’s embraces China

.

Last week 411 went over GE who pays a net -18.9% corporate tax rate to the USA and a +25% tax rate to a totalitarian regime in China.all

APPL is no different than the other globalized companies that help to contribute to their above  and below the table  support of the communist dictatorship in China.

.

  • Apple’s record profits in its earnings report come from China
  • AAPL like hundreds of globalized American companies pay a 25% Chinese corporate tax,
  • millions of workers  who owe their jobs to American Corporations pay up to a 45% China tax
  • All imported American products are taxed at 25% vs a 2.5% tax on Chinese goods coming to America
  • All this goes to the
    Totalitarian Chinese communist state
    and their military machine
    .
    China’s Latest Stealth Bomber
    .
    .
    _________________
    .
    Across the big Pond

    In the USA
    .
    Sheldon Adelson
    .
    Sheldon Adelson
    (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)
    .
    Macau (China) Gambling magnet  Sheldon Adelson has already has already contributed more money to an American Presidential campaign than any other person in history – At least $35 million.
    .
    Now, because of our plutocrat
    .
    loving

    Supreme Court

    Adelson right wing contributions

    will be


    .
    While we all applaud
    our latest product
    .

.

NB – Investors411 believes in  capitalism that has some order and social responsibility. Not the greed based “free market” casino extraction systems that are gaining control of the world’s economies.


This blog is written on an

Apple Macintosh Computer

&

AAPL is on “YOUR Stock List”

So this editorial is also self criticism

.

Please recognize,

that OUR short term

GREED

has long term

consequences

.

*******************

.

STOCKS

.

.

Trends

.

  • Earning Result are usually better than expected. This time a lot better. Growth in China often cited as a major factor.
  • Europe – Major trend is many European economies are rejecting sever austerity measures.  Short term stocks may suffer
  • Spanish 10 year Bond Rates [411 uses this as a critical measurement of European/world stock market stability] have stabilized over last three weeks just under 6% danger zone.
  • McCellan Oscillator [411 very successful technical tool in market direction - Tops/bottoms] is nearing overbought territory

.

____________

.

Reading The Tea Leaves

.

..

Technically  - Obvious short term momentum with bulls, but another rally day will bring is into mildly overbought territory. Stock moving higher need two factors. The fact that socialists should win May 6th elections in France should be already factored into stocks.

  • Europe’s canary in the coal mine, Spanish bonds need to stay below 6%. A strong resistance level has been established.
  • Our Fed’s “Operation Twist” ends in June. Traders/Investors/Manipulators need to see that they will continue liquidity dump.
  • Short term bulls will soon get an overbought correction soon if rally continues. Longer term below

As long as the Spanish canary doesn’t chip we’re looking decent for May. If there is no signs of further Fed liquidity, then the old late spring/summer meltdown will probably repeat itself.


.

*************************

.

PAUL’S Corner

.

.

Announcing Brand New

YOUR Stock List

.

.

Your Stock List

.

Here you  go folks, the latest stock list selected by Investors 411 readers! The list includes many of your favorite and well known stocks.

Please keep in mind, its earnings season and some of these stocks haven’t reported yet. It’s your responsibility to find out when your stock reports and the earnings estimate. (That’s not my job!)

There were quite a few great suggestions, but we tended to select stocks that had more votes. This list is entirely made up from your suggestions.

Many of these stocks are currently extended and you should wait for a pull back before a buy.

____________

..

AMZN – Amazon.com, Inc. operates as an online retailer in North America and internationally. It operates retail Websites, such as amazon.com and amazon.ca.

AAPL – Apple Inc., together with subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets mobile communication and media devices.

DDD – 3D Systems Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, marketing, and servicing of 3D printers and related products, print materials, and services.

KO – The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, engages in the manufacture, marketing, and sale of nonalcoholic beverages worldwide.

DLTR – Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety stores in the United States and Canada. Its stores offer merchandise at the fixed price of $1.00.

EBAY - eBay Inc. provides online platforms, services, and tools to help individuals and merchants in online and mobile commerce and payments in the United States and internationally

HD – The Home Depot, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a home improvement retailer.

IMAX – IMAX Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment technology company specializing in motion picture technologies and presentations worldwide.

IBM – International Business Machines Corporation provides information technology (IT) products and services worldwide.

LEN - Lennar Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in homebuilding, financial services, and real estate businesses in the United States.

MNST – Monster Beverage Corporation is a marketer and distributor of energy drinks and alternative beverages.

PCLN – priceline.com Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an online travel company.

SBUX – Starbucks Corporation purchases and roasts whole bean coffees. It operates 6,705 company-operated stores and 4,082 licensed stores in the United States

TSCO – Tractor Supply Company is a specialty retailer which supplies the daily farming and maintenance needs of its target customers: hobby, part-time and full-time farmers and ranchers, as well as rural customers, contractors and tradesmen

URI – United Rentals, Inc. is one of North America’s largest equipment rental companies with over branches in the majority of states, several Canadian provinces and Mexico.

__________

Disclaimer – Buy or trade at your own risk. Any comments made now or in the future about these stocks are for education only. At time of writing I do not own ANY of the stocks listed.

[Editor's Note. Thanks! - YSL Only works because YOU send in a short list of your favorite stock. Look for a discussion of them in the comments section of blog every day]

.

*******************

.

Spanish Bond yield over 6% =  NEUTRAL

Under 6% = CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

.

Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

  • Share/Save/Bookmark
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