Investors 411 Blog

by Barr Jozwicki
July 10, 2012

Reaching a Tipping Point?

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,

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Reaching

A Tipping Point

.

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Why this below comment is so import is its from

Mervyn King,

Governor-Bank of England.

London is the recognized Banking Capital of the world

[It Should be From Ben Bernanke -  Taibbi]

.

“It is time to do something about the

banking system…

It goes to the culture and the structure of banks: the excessive compensation, the shoddy treatment of customers, the deceitful manipulation of a key interest rate, and today, news of yet another mis-selling scandal.”.

.

Banksta

It’s Not just 411 and a few others shouting

Bankster

.

.

Frequent Commenter

JIM J

is the author of this editorial

Many thanks!

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The TOO BIG TO FAIL BANKS ARE

CORRUPT, FRAGILE, GROWING AND

IN CONSTANT NEED OF BAILOUTS.

.

.

  • JPM received $29 billion basically 0% loan to buy Bear Stearns. UNPRECEDENTED


  • Too Big to fail JPM has/is getting ANOTHER $400 to 500 billion. UNPRECEDENTED


  • Just the too big to fails that have members on the Fed board have received, like JPM, over $4 trillion. UNPRECEDENTED


  • And the Fed continues to shovel it out to the group that almost destroyed the financial structure of the world UNPRECEDENTED


  • A group that makes hidden trades in  financial WMD’s (Warren Buffett term) UNPRECEDENTED

.

  • An opaque casino market that is over leveraged to the tune of $700 trillion dollars UNPRECEDENTED


  • Too big to fail banks that skim profits in High Frequency trades (see Paul of Barr to explain HFT’s) UNPRECEDENTED


  • Too big to fail banks that, like the mafia (Matt Taibbi) rig the bond market UNPRECEDENTED


  • Too big to fail banks that rig 10′s of trillions in LIBOR related loans for decades. UNPRECEDENTED


  • Too big to fail banks like JPM that lost 30% of its value because no one knew how over leveraged the loss was UNPRECEDENTED

,

  • The banks for years get their own opaque accounting system UNPRECEDENTED

.

Do YOU get the same UNPRECEDENTED treatment?

Does YOUR local small Business get

the Same UNPRECEDENTED treatment?

.

Skimming from our Stock Trades, Bonds, Mortgages

Running over leveraged casino gambling with OUR money

Given continuous special bailout by OUR Fed

Owning our Politicians with Their Contributions

.

.

Today’s reads

.

THE LONG CON – How the Too Big to Fails

have been stealing from for decades

.

THE MICE THAT ROARED How cities/towns

are starting to defy Wall Street Bankstas

.

PREDATOR NATION: Corporate Criminals,

Political Corruption, and the Hijacking of America

.

******************

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STOCKS

.

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MORE STOCKS IN NEXT 411

For Now

Long Term Outlook

3+ months

Remains Unchanged

.,

NEUTRAL

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS

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July 6, 2012

Another Mega Scandal

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

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Another Mega

International Scandal

.

.

Another Major

Preventable Catastrophe

.

Involving collusion between

a corporate cartell and the

politicians/regulators

they own

.

HEADLINE

.

“A scathing Japanese parliamentary report

investigating the circumstances of the

Fukushima Daiichi nuclear-plant disaster

blamed the dangerous incident on

collusion between government agencies

and Japan’s leading energy company”

.

LINK to TIME Magazine story

.

.

Millions of Lives negatively Imacted

Trillions in overall economic costs

.

The technology did not fail,

but just as with the Bankstas

who brought the world to the

edge of economic collapse in 2008

and are still creating the same

too big to fail havoc today

.

Its the GREED of the plutocracy

Skimming all the profits and

punishing us with their disaster

.

Thanks to EW and Popeye [LINK to his comment] for bring this up in the comments section and our thought go out to JSs son who, like Godzilla (see cartoon above) got out of town (Japan) but is back living there.

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***********************

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STOCKS

.

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Paul,

who is trying to stay cool

at a very hot art show,

has posted the latest results

of  the current YOUR Stock List

LINK Here

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YSL +0.26

S&P 500 -2.17

.

*******************

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Long Term Outlook

3+ months

.

NEUTRAL

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS

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June 28, 2012

Bankstas At War

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , ,

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The International Banking

Cartel’s War on You

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“There’s vast criminality in Wall Street now.


It’s bribery, theft, fraud,
bid rigging, price fixing,


gambling, loan sharking.
All of these things,


it’s all organized.” - MATT TAIBBI

.

Today’s Headlines

.

.

.

Headline NYT Today

“Trading Losses at JPM

could exceed $9 billion

.

.

The “Too Big to Fail”

Cartel/Oligopoly

Caught in another

Skimming operation

.

Barclays

(Britain too big to fail banksta)

Fined $450 million in LIBOR

Price Fixing operation

20+ other bankstas involved.

(Of Course JPM is one)

..

Why it matters

.

The importance of Libor

is hard to overstate.

.

“They are used to value of hundreds of trillions of dollars of financial instruments. Or as Matt Levine puts it, they “set the rates on pretty much all the loans and swaps in the world … CFTC order mentions $350 trillion of [over-the-counter] swaps, $10 trillion of loans, and $437 trillion of CME eurodollar contracts indexed to Libor alone”. Ben Walsh

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********************

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STOCKS

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Paul’s Corner

.

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Last evening I had the time to join in with  the HGSI users virtual market discussions.

These are a group of investors who meet on the computer to discuss the market. Most of the members are in cash as I am and feel this market is too shaky to safely invest in.

The market was looking promising late last week but has fallen back into the choppy zone.

.

Ian Woodward posted another great blog

late last evening and is a must read.

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http://www.highgrowthstock.com…

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Ian sums it up nicely

in the following chart:

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http://www.highgrowthstock.com…

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Last week we did have two Eurekas and a Kahuna, but look on the lower right of the chart at the orange bar, that’s  a Phoenix (opposite of a Eureka) and a Phoenix usually cancels the Eurekas.


http://www.highgrowthstock.com…

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Looking at the charts last evening I didn’t find much to consider buying and found many of the cha cha cha stocks had profit taking.

As Barr often reminds us there is nothing wrong with taking profits, let me suggest there is nothing wrong with missing the market bottom.

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******************

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Long Term Outlook

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CAUTIOUSLY BEARISH

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AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

.

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.

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June 26, 2012

The Mafia State

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , ,

The Mafia State;

Banks Owning Government

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Image Victor Juhasz/Rolling Stone

“There’s vast criminality


in Wall Street now.


It’s bribery, theft, fraud,


bid rigging, price fixing,


gambling, loan sharking.


All of these things,


it’s all organized.”


MATT TAIBBI

________

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STEP ONE

Banksters/ Vampire Squids

Buy the Government

.

.

OpenSecrets.com

Lists US politicians campaign contributors

Let’s focus just on the heads of the Banking Committee

in the Senate and House

Spenser Bachus R

Tim Johnson D

.

Their largest campaign contributors

are all

Bankstas

.

We all remember 2008

[Investors411 2/27, 28, & 29]

Profits Bonuses & Bailouts

all went to the Bankstas



.

But Bankstas became far more than

America’s Biggest

Welfare Queens

..

“Finance & the Mafia State”

The Above is a Link to a Yves Smith Editorial

from her highly rated blog Naked Capitalism

.

.

The Mafia buys the Cops,

Bankstas buy the

Government

.

Focus – JPM the biggest,

too big to fail,

casino gambler of derivatives

__________

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  • All 411 readers have read George’s story of  a bank’s illegal break in, theft and destruction of property at his home.

.

JPM CEO

Jamie Dimon

AKA

“Diamond Jim”

.

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Jamie Dimon

has sat on Board of Directors of

NY FED since 2007-

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  • Since 2007 – The Fed has provided JPM with $391 billion in assistance
  • FED also provided JPM with $29 billion to buy another troubled investment bank, Bear Sterns

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It Gets worse

.

.

“The Scams Wall Street Learned

from the Mafia”

link to Rolling Stone article


Imagine a Welfare Queen who abuses/steals from the food stamp program – She goes to jail and/or looses her right to food stamps.

.

But the Bankstas, like JPM,

for decades have

never gone to jail.

.

  • Foreclosed on soldiers while they were fighting in Iraq – No Problem
  • $228 million fine for bond bid riggings – No problem
  • $153 million fine for fraud in CDO trades – No Problem
  • $700 millions in Jefferson County municipial bid rigging/toxic swaps – No Problem
  • 33 million pound “record fine” – failing to keep client’s money separate from their own - No Problem
  • 450 thousand pound fine - JPM global equity chair fined for passing on inside information – No Problem

.

If this is just what JPM

is getting their wrist’s slap for.

Imagine what

they are getting away with

.

For more see Bill Moyers

Interview

with Yves Smith & Matt Taibbi

discussing the too big to fail bank,

JPMorgan

.

The Best interview of the year!

.

Finis




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June 16, 2012

One Minute to Midnight

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,

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Did YOU ever think

your fellow Americans

would approve of a

Macow gambling magnet

buying

YOUR Democracy?

.

.

Sheldon Adelson

$35 million so far, next

$100 million and now

“Limitless”

.

In Syria, Iran, Russia

and other so called

Democracies

We label the Plutocrats

who buy/finance the so

called “President” as

.

EVIL

.

In the US a

Plutocrat/Gambling czar

who wants to buy a

President

is a Businessman

and business is worshiped

by many Americans

.

_____________

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JPMorgan’s

CEO Jamie Dimon

went in front of congress

for a massive

“trading loss”

/

.

Politicians from all sides

“Groveled” *

in front of a

“corporate overlord”

.;

Many have enjoyed

the CEO’s $$$


.

.

The Hidden Story is

the constant

revolving door between

Government, The Fed and

our Corporate masters

.

$4,000,000,000,000

.

That’s how much

Jamie Dimon &

17 other CEO’s received

in (near 0% interest) loans

from our Fed Reserve

.

.

Those 18 CEO’s first

WORKED

for the FED before

getting the $4 trillion

The LIST


.

*******************

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“One Minute To Midnight

For Democracy”

.

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“This Time Europe

Really is on the Brink”

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Only a few economists

predicted the 2008

financial Meltdown:

.

Roubini and Ferguson’s

ominous editorial

against imposing austerity

on Europeans

..

LINK to results of

4 years of austerity in

Portugal, Ireland, Spain,

Greece, and Italy

.

Plunging GDP &

Employment

.

Another chart below

on the future AUSTERITY

brings

.

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Romney’s economist

Glenn Hubbard takes

the Banksta’s side

In Germany’s WSJ

.

_____________

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Big Victory

For Banksta’s

Basel III

.

.

Basel III was supposed

to give the world

better banking regulations

NB – In cartoon –

Same casino capitalism reference to Las Vegas

.

******************

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Democracy in Europe

and the USA

is getting shredded

.

The middle class

is evaporating

.

Latest – Between 2007 & 2010

median income dropped from

$49,600 to $45,800 in the USA

.

Bankstas get the Gain

You get the Pain

.


.

*Many thanks to Jim J for the Heads up on the Matt Taibbi editorial

FINIS

..




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May 21, 2012

The Banking Debacle

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , ,

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“It is difficult to get a man

to understand something

when his job depends on

not understanding it.”

.

.

The Banksta Cartel

owns enough

politicians and media

to mute what should be

THE major story

.

JP Morgan

.

.

Too Big To Fail

JPM dropped 18%

over 6 days

on a $2 billion “error”

.

.

A Wake up and

Smell the Coffee Moment

.

Who knows how much toxic debt

JPM or any too big to fail bank has

in the hidden financial markets?

.

  • The 2008 banking cartel meltdown , according to the CBO cost us 50% of 1 year’s GDP/$7 trillion. (Source – MIT’s & IMF’s   Simon Johnson)
  • Panicked  investors ( -18% for JPM) simply don’t know how much hidden toxic debt banksta’s have?
  • Romney, Republicans, some Dems, banksters doing everything possible to keep banking in the shadows – No Dodd Frank No SAFE
  • Ya think JPM could own some toxic Greek, Spanish, Irish debt? Who knows?

.

.

The over leveraging and hidden transactions make a plutocracy rich, powerful and very influential. They label you a socialist if you try to expose their money extraction schemes.

If you made, or are supported by some of trillions extracted from unregulated opaque finance markets you want this to continue.

If you’re concerned about you and your kids paying down $7 trillion in debt or another meltdown you…

.

Wake up and

Smell the Coffee

.

*******************

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STOCKS

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Anatomy of

411′s downgrades

&

When do we move higher?


.

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Trends

.

The Major Trend Cycle Still

Impacting Stocks

Shown by following Chart from Zero Hedge

.

The above trend in the form of

Central Banks = Policy Makers,

Still dominating markets

.

_________

.

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Anatomy of A Downgrade

You can read more about 411 Strategy in the

Strategy section of the blog

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  • May 4th’ 411 - “Will Europe drag US markets down?” S&P closes at @1370
  • May 7th’ 411 – Oil Prices fall through support and Spanish bond yields a rise above 6.00% resistance level. Spanish bonds =411′s Canary in a coal Mine for Europe Outlook changes to NEUTRAL.  S&P closes at @1370
  • May 9th 411 “All stock Positions now have a greater downside risk” 411 warns – “If Spanish bonds move above 6.10% outlook will be changed to CAUTIOUSLY BEARISH.” S&P closes at @1355
  • May 14th 411 – In addition to Spanish bonds well over 6.10%, 411 warns of seriousness of JPM meltdown. S&P closes at 1340
  • May 15th - NASDQ closes below 2900 support level. S&P closes at 1330 &  ends week at 5/18 at 1295

.

____________

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Reading The Tea Leaves

.

.

The Two Major Problems

411 Readers should recognize

this picture


.

.

  • The Yield rate on the Spanish 10 year bond has been our very successful measurement of how well Europe is doing.
  • The bond breaking out up through the 6.00% resistance level was bad and 7.00% is the critical (potential default level for a MAJOR European Country.
  • The second is JPM, covered above.

____________

.

Our McClellan Oscillator has just entered OMG oversold levels at -110.33.

Almost always, over the last three years when it gets this low at least a 5+% rally follows on the S&P. (Last time it was only @4%) The MO’s lowest low last August was -140.

.

The MO can tell us we are really oversold,

but it can’t change reality-

Can the ECB keep a lid on Spanish Bond yields?

How exposed to toxic debt is any bank?

Will JPM stop its slide or will others follow?

.

So JPM’s stock price and

the 10 year Spanish T bond yield

are what to watch


If we had a transparent accounting and markets within global banking, 411 would be telling you to buy NOW.


**********************

,

No changes till JPM stock rises and Spanish bond rates fall

.

Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

CAUTIOUSLY BEARISH

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

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April 20, 2012

Bad Credit/Easy Loan

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

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Bad Credit/Easy Loan

.

.

Investors411 Readers Report

It’s Easy To get A Loan.*

.

.

Banksta

.

You Know the Story

Greedy Unregulated Banks

invent Casino Extraction System

(See blog posts Feb 12th through 29th)

Almost Bring Down Financial System

by over leveraging and bad loans

.

Paul Volcker

.

.

The Volcker Rule, NOT to return to

the regulated capitalism that

worked for 60+ years, but to more

mildly regulate banksters is getting

delayed & picked apart by banksters

and the right wing

.

.

Is the Banksta agent

with a huge Pinky Ring Back

Just 3+ Short Years After the

Meltdown?

.

  • Capital One & GM Financial are making “loans to those with “less-than-flawed-credit.” (NYT)
  • Equifax reports 1.1 million new credit cards in December to borrowers with damaged credit
  • HSBC and JPM/Chase are back in sub-prime (NYT)


Annette Alejandro is happy sorting though the the piles of credit card offers she has. She’s unemployed, had her car repossessed, and is fresh out of bankruptcy (NYT)

.

They’re Back

,

.

Why should Banks practice Capitalism?

Why should the seek out only the best clients,

When massive profits come from bundling loans

& selling them in the unregulated, over leveraged

$600 trillion casino or derivatives market?

.

_____________

.

*I certainly don’t want to imply any of you have bad credit

Inspiration and some data came from this weeks Brookline TAB editorial

.

*******************

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STOCKS

.

.

France and Eurogeddon?

.

  • Investors411 Readers understand that the reason banksters gave loans to so many troubled countries is the had the unregulated, over leveraged massive casino/derivatives market to back them up.
  • Now just like in the USA. Too Big To Fail Banks and Countries are threatened.
  • Will gains be privatized by the banks and risk socialized by the voters of each country?
  • First Round French Election Sunday and polls say (pro bankster, pro more austerity) Sarkozy is behind
  • Potential Eurogeddon? - This stock chart of France’s largest bank BNP shows a 30+% drop in a month and a -4.86% drop yesterday

.

Sure looks like

some sort of PANIC

in a French

“Too Big To Fail ” bank

.

___________

.

The Pain in Spain

Gets Worse

.

.

.

  • The Problems in France are negatively Impacting Spanish bond yields.
  • Despite, a successful over hyped auction of Spanish bonds yesterday the rates this AM got over the critical 6%.
  • Spanish 10 year Bond Rates currently at 5.94% at 6:50 EDT.

.

For Investors/Traders

How to Play Europe’s

Political/Economic Problems

.

.

Reading The Tea Leaves

.

  • Here’s the view of PIMCO’s #2 Mohamed EL Erian on same subject.
  • The reoccurring cycle of Central Bank Liquidity coming to the rescue will happen but when?
  • Holding a full boat of long positions is problematic until another liquidity dump by Central Banks.
  • Short term play – Short - France, BNP and related banks may have some more short term downside them

______________


  • AAPL earnings report on Tuesday is the big news this side of the pond. Looks like traders are expecting less than the usual stellar results.
  • High risk trade – If APPL keeps going down, I may purchase some before earnings or in a dip after earnings.

.

*************************

.

PAUL’S Corner

.

.

A bucket of what?

,

Many times we have discussed using the Bollinger Band to evaluate a stock and a major stock index. It’s one of my favorite tools and one that’s constantly suggested by my good friend Ian Woodward (HGSI).

One of our fellow HGSI users, Dave Steckler posted a great blog last evening briefly explaining Ian’s Bucketology.

Enjoy:  LINK

As you all know, I reply on HGSI for stock selection and searching. I’m pretty good at top down searching and reading the charts to find what I’m comfortable with spending my wife’s money on.

But if you are a wee bit lazy, HGSI has some very good searches that are handed to you each evening with some excellent stocks.  One of my favorites is “The Best of Woodward and Brown”. Here are last evening selections from this search:

ALLT, ACAT, MPEL, MODL, NQ, PII, SCSS, SXCI, TPX, URI

Pretty good looking stocks handed to you and a down day in the market!

My usual worthless disclaimer applies

blah blah blah blah

.

*******************

.

Spanish Bond over 6% = Change to NEUTRAL (LTO)

.

Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

A Very Shaky

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH


AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK & POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.




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April 17, 2012

Cheaters

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Why fighting for

Openness, Accountability

and Honesty

is the Good Fight

Biggest business scandals of all time

..

Charles Ponzi

Corruption in Business

What Does It Cost?

.

Very occasionally the crimes of the plutocracy become so transparent that despite all their lawyers and lobbyists they are caught

.

A Rouges Gallery

.

Biggest business scandals of all time

.

Charles Keating

.

Keating’s  Savings and Loan debacle of the 1980′s. His company went from +781 million to -4.6 billion in one year. 5 Senators took $300,000 from Keating. By 1989 the estimated cost of the Keating scandal had reached $500 billion.

(Source Wikipedia – my guesstimate that about $2 trillion in today’s dollars.)

.

Due to time considerations and the get a life factor -

I’m just going to list a few infamous plutocrats


.

Biggest business scandals of all time

.

Ivan Boesky

Inspiration for Gordon Gekko movie

.

Biggest business scandals of all time

..

Bernard Ebbers

World Com

.

Biggest business scandals of all time

.

Dennis Koslowski

TYCO

.

Business scandals

.

Richard Scrushy

Health South Corp.

.

Biggest business scandals of all time

.

Ken Lay & Jeff Skilling

Enron

Most Plutocrats are NOT Caught

If They are, They Don’t Go to Jail

.

Here a Long List from Wikipedia of more Scandals. Do Your own research you can find hundreds more.

______

.

Legalized Theft

Banksta deregulation &

The 2008 Financial Meltdown

.

.

What Investors411 supports is

Openness

Accountability

&

Honesty

.

Right Wing’s Response

Declare War On

.

.

Welfare Mothers

Who Cheat the System

.

_____________

.

Who is the bigger cheat or

threat to

.

  • a meltdown in the Financial System.
  • A devaluation of your home price
  • Costing you a job
  • Adding to the deficit.
  • Cheating your stock investment
  • Bringing on a recession/depression
  • Taking your Democracy.

The Welfare mom

or the Plutocrats?

.

*******************

.

STOCKS

..

Sorry, Limited time this AM.

.

  • Spanish bonds  DOWN significantly (2.72%) to 5.905 at 8:30 EST. = Bullish
  • GS had better than expected earnings report and raised dividend
  • Biggest news is AAPL’s earnings report next Tuesday

******************

For foreseeable short term future – As long as the Spanish 10 year bond rate is above 6.00% and growing, the outlook will remain NEUTRAL.

Below 6.00% Outlook CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH.

,

Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

A Shaky

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK AND POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.







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April 12, 2012

Honest Abe

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

.

Open, Honest &

Accountable

.

Does It Matter?

.

..

It’s YOUR Democracy.

.

Should we have standards that demand openness, accountability, and honesty.

.

Let’s Look at some examples

.

__________

.

The Food We Eat

.

.

Should There be Standards?

.

________

.

The Medicines We Take

.

_

Should There be Standards?

________________

.

The Stocks We Buy

.

.

Should There Be Standards?

..

__________

.

The Politicians we vote for

.

.

Should There Be Standards?

.

George Romney, Mitt’s Father, set the standard by disclosing 12 years of tax returns.

He was open, honest, accountable and had

.

Nothing To Hide.

.

*******************

.

Bankstas

Honest, Open & Accountable?

.

.

Should There be Standards?…..

.

Should the Banking Cartel have special –

  • Too Big To Fail Banks?
  • Unregulated $600 Trillion Exchanges?
  • Their own Set of Accounting Rules?

PS – It’s hard to picture the polls, who rely on contributions from Big Banksta Cartel, throw Banksta friends in the Briar Patch

.

**********************

**********************

.

STOCKS

..

____________

.

Spain/Italy

.

.

The Two Euro Countries to Watch

.

Yesterday the Month Long Meltup

in Bond Yields REVERSED.

.

The reversal continues = Bulls Rule.


  • Italian 10 year bond yield is falling this AM, down 2.84% to 5.38% (8:00 AM EST) Well below the 7.00% Danger Zone but along with Spain in a month+ long meltup is a significant concern.
  • Spain’s 10 year bond yield moving in concert with Italy. Down this AM  1.61% to 5.78%.  Spain is more critical, because it is closer to 7.00%.

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The Cavalry

.

.

Is that the trumpet sound of a Central Bank liquidity Cavalry charge driving down Spanish and Italian bond yields? From yesterday

A one day trend – you hear the sound of the trumpet.

Day two confirms day one move &

a three day fall in Yields would be the

Cavalry is in sight.

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__________

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Old Faithful

The McCellan Oscillator

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  • Our #1 technical forecasting tool, the McClellan Oscillator (MO) rose to -60.87 (for more see  STRATEGY link at top of blog and scroll down) We are in oversold territory at @-60.   = Bullish
  • 6 month chart of MO. & a three year chart. Remember – The MO is best at calling tops and bottoms.  Check out the charts. Last dip was to - 85 in March, then -110 in November and then a 3 year low of -140 last April.

.

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.

.

What would make the budding Rally

turn into a

Stampede?

.

.

A better than expected earnings forecast from

GOOG & JPM.

.

GOOG reports after the bell today and JPM tomorrow before the bell. (WFC too)

Several of you are placing an expensive , but palatable, Put/Call option combination trade on GOOG with an expiration on the 21st, or in May. A JPM call seems palatable.

From Yesterday

“For those that can handle the risk

an opportunity to nibble.”

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Paul’s Corner

.

.

A brief look at

Your Stock List


Most stocks on the list took a hit these past few days. If a stock is on the 17 or near the 17 it can be played market conditions permitting. If it “broke the 50” caution should be observed, and ideally not purchased until above the 50.

Check the charts!

CMG – Sitting on the 17

DLTR – broke the 17 but now sitting on the 17

ENBR – on the 50 and 17 basing

FAST – broke down through the 50

FL – above the 50, below the 17

HD – on the 17

IMAX  – breaking down, broke the 50 ALL HGSI indicators are red.

IBM between the 17 and 50

KLAC  – just below the 17

LEN – between the 17 and the 50

MC – on the 17

MNST – above the 17

SWI -  below the 50 and the 17

TSCO – above the 17

URI – broke the 50, all indicators are red

The Home Builders have been a good play these past few months and two ETF’s, ITB and XHB are a good alternative to the individual stocks.  So what’s the difference between the two?

A few days ago, (April 9) Dave Steckler author of the etfroundup.com blog that many of us read wrote the following about these two ETF’s:

“Let me give you another example.  Last Thursday I discussed a long trade signal in ITB, the home construction ETF.  ITB is offered by iShares.  Another big ETF player is Standard & Poors, which offers XHB, the SPDR homebuilders ETF.  So is there a difference between the two and does it matter which one you buy?  It does, which is why you need to drill, baby, drill down and do your research.

ITB keeps roughly two-thirds of its assets in home building stocks and one-third in home furnishings, plumbing suppliers and white goods appliance makers.  XHB on the other hand does the reverse, making the home-focused retailers and suppliers the primary focus and the home builders a secondary focus.  So even though “home construction” and homebuilders” sound like they’re the same thing, they’re not.  Do your homework!”

Blog Link

Which ETF to buy? As Dave suggests do your homework, look at the charts, check the underlying stocks.

Was this just a great buy the dip opportunity or the start of a few months of correction? As Dave Steckler suggests “we will know in the fullness of time!”.

.*************************

******************

,

Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

A lot less Shaky

(Because of recent rally in Spanish/Italian bond prices)

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK AND POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

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April 2, 2012

The Great Divide

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,

.

It Will Save LIVES

.

.

Definitely Worth Watching

.

Click on picture above for LINK

.

Thanks to RF for sending in this NEW Information, with the more than accurate statement -

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“THIS IS FOR EVERYBODY”

.

********************

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Remember When

Nobel Prize Winners

were Respected?

.

Prize Award Ceremony

.

They Still Are

.

Paul Krugman, a nobel Prize winning economist on “Pink Slime Economics.”

.

GOP Budget

“The Most Fraudulent Budget Ever”

.

********************

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The Great Divide

.

.

.

By Yankee Bob

.

The Great Divide…

is the America of JFK that stands in the America we grew up in and the shift,..the denial of that  reality.

On one side from our independence and annunciated by JFK so eloquently is the belief that Americans as a group are resourceful and talented enough to accomplish any goal that we commonly hold to be worth doing.

JFK set our sights on the occupation of the moon before we had the technology and hardware to do so and America rolled up her collective sleeves and did it before the decade was ended. That’s the…

.

“Yes,WE CAN America.

That’s the America we thought we lived in. Common goals,common action for the common good.

.

_____________

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Katrina brought in the divider Bush, sitting distant by himself in an airplane portal.

.

.

Shrinking from the task of rebuilding and helping to heal the wounds from Katrina. Instead of moving heaven and earth to help the suffering of the Gulf Coast, Bush and company proclaimed. “How could we have known? What could we have done and then Inaction was followed with more inaction.

The Right used the situation to rid NO of as many poor blacks as it could so whites can rebuild NO as they want to without  a third of the previous population.

.

We went from …Yes,we can to  No ,We won’t .

We went from we are in this together to

You’re on your own…

By Yankee Bob

Continued in comments section of blog.

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Bankstas & Debt

Editorial

.

.

In STOCK Section below

.

********************

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STOCKS

.

.

Wall Street Bull and OWS Symbol

..

Insight into how Investors411 evaluates stocks, markets and trends can be found in the STRATEGY Section of the blog.

.

Headline

.

.

The Start of the

2nd Quarter


.

  • After a first quarter that was dominated by the manipulations of stock markets by Central Banks the question becomes, will the rally continue?
  • The second quarters, for the lat two years, have seen a decline in stock value
  • However, those quarters were both had the ends of two Fed Quantitative Easing Programs. The new Operation twist goes till June. Europe and Japan have also opened up their printing presses.
  • The major fundamental behind stocks remains - Central Banks printing money and low interest rates. It forces money/people that want a higher rate of return into stocks and other riskier assets.
  • It’s hard to see as much of a rally as we did in the first quarter. But, if the Central banks hang in there its hard to see the rally disintegrate.
  • Earnings Season starts in a week or two.  That always has some impact.
  • For short term traders – The first day (or 2) of a new quarter has not always been kind to momentum stocks. However, always remember, the Central Banks have the trump card.

Therefore Still a Long Term Bullish Bias

.

______________

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Old Faithful

The McCellan Oscillator

.

  • Our #1 technical forecasting tool, the McClellan Oscillator (MO) rose to -27.01. (for more see  STRATEGY link at top of blog and scroll down) The negative number indicates more wiggle room on the upside than down side, but overall MO is  = NEUTRAL

.

______________

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Canary in a Coal Mine

.

Investors411 uses two gauges to determine how well Central Banks are doing at manipulating stocks.

  • Italian 10 year bond yield down  to 5.06% (6:15 AM EST) Well below the 7.00% Danger Zone.
  • Our USA canary in the coal mine - The US ten year T bill rose more than usual on Friday to 2.22% after an 8 day fall. 2.22 is a very low rate and nothing to worry about yet. Any sustained upward movement would be trouble.

.

______________

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Bankstas

.

.

As a Trade or Investment

Obviously I loath this group, especially investment banks.

They pretty much own government through their lobbyists.

.

They’ve destroyed the capitalist banking system that built America and replaced it with an extraction system privatizes the gains and socializes the losses.

Imagine someone taking your money and going to an unregulated casino in Vegas. If they win they make money. If they loose, the 5 biggest investment banks have over $230 trillion in leveraged debt, so they are too big to fail.

.

YOU will have to Bail then out

Or the global economic system is Kaput.

.

Mountain  Vs Mole Hill

.

.

Compare the global $600 trillion

of Banksta’s Unregulated Casino Debt

with

The USA $14 trillion Dollar Deficit

.

It what is an obvious case of misdirection, the bankstas and their political/media allies have focused your attention on the mole hill (US deficit) instead of the mountain (Banksta over leverage casino debt) – Only in a growing plutocracy driven society are they able to get away with this.

.

The only obstacle out there for bankstas is the

Volker Rule.

(More on this later)

.

Like any third world dictator you can extract money from all the loans that that your subjects make.

.

Obviously the bankstas are going to make money.

Their sector led last quarter and should lead again.

.

..

**********************

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Longer Term Outlook

3 months+

.

Still

CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH

.

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

ALL TRADING INVOLVES RISK AND POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPLE

CHECK ALL DATA, I MAKE MORE THAN GRAMMAR  ERRORS.

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