Investors 411 Blog

by Barr Jozwicki
February 9, 2010

Wall Street’s Race To The Bottom

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , ,

The Best Editorial of 2010

Warren

Elizabeth Warren in the WSJ

Here’s The WSJ editorial link- in case my link does not work – here’s the  http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703630404575053514188773400.html

Below is the full editorial

“Wall Street’s Race To The Bottom”

By ELIZABETH WARREN

Banking is based on trust. The banks get our paychecks and hold our savings; they know where we spend our money and they keep it private. If we don’t trust them, the whole system breaks down. Yet for years, Wall Street CEOs have thrown away customer trust like so much worthless trash.

Banks and brokers have sold deceptive mortgages for more than a decade. Financial wizards made billions by packaging and repackaging those loans into securities. And federal regulators played the role of lookout at a bank robbery, holding back anyone who tried to stop the massive looting from middle-class families. When they weren’t selling deceptive mortgages, Wall Street invented new credit card tricks and clever overdraft fees.

In October 2008, when all the risks accumulated and the economy went into a tailspin, Wall Street CEOs squandered what little trust was left when they accepted taxpayer bailouts. As the economy stabilized and it seemed like we would change the rules that got us into this crisis—including the rules that let big banks trick their customers for so many years—it looked like things might come out all right.

Now, a year later, President Obama’s proposals for reform are bottled up in the Senate. The same Wall Street CEOs who brought the economy to its knees have spent more than a year and hundreds of millions of dollars furiously lobbying Washington to kill the president’s proposal for a Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA).

Within the thousands of pages of print in the “Restoring American Financial Stability Act” now before the Senate, the consumer agency is the only proposal that would help families directly. Even those most concerned about the role of personal responsibility concede that it is hard for families to make smart decisions and to compare products when the paperwork on mortgages, credit cards and even checking accounts has morphed into reams of incomprehensible legalese.

The consumer agency is a watchdog that would root out gimmicks and traps and slim down paperwork, giving families a fighting chance to hang on to some of their money. So far, Wall Street CEOs seem determined to stop any kind of watchdog. They seem to think that they can run their businesses forever without our trust. This is a bad calculation.

It’s a bad calculation because shareholders suffer enormously from the long-term cost of the boom-and- bust cycles that accompany a poorly regulated market. J.P. Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon recently explained this brave new world, saying that crises should be expected “every five to seven years.”

He is wrong. New laws that came out of the Great Depression ended 150 years of boom-and-bust cycles and gave us 50 years with virtually no financial meltdowns. The stability ended as we dismantled those laws and failed to replace them with new laws that reflected modern business practices.

The reputations of Wall Street’s most storied institutions are evaporating as the lack of meaningful consumer rules has set off a race to the bottom to develop new ways to trick customers. Wall Street executives explain privately that they cannot get rid of fine print, deceptive pricing, and buried tricks unilaterally without losing market share.

Citigroup learned this the hard way in 2007, when it decided to clean up its credit card just a little bit by eliminating universal default—the trick that allowed it to raise rates retroactively, even for consumers that did nothing wrong. Citi’s reform resulted in lower revenues and no new customers, triggering an embarrassing public reversal.

Citi explained sheepishly that credit cards were now so complicated that customers couldn’t tell when a company offered something a little better. So Citi went back to something a little worse. Without a watchdog in place, the big banks just keep slinging out uglier and uglier products.

With their reputations in tatters, the CEOs have decided to go on the offensive in Washington. They might have had some thoughtful suggestions for how to better shape a consumer agency. Instead, they have unleashed lobbyists who are determined to do anything to kill the consumer agency.

The latest lie is that the CFPA is “big government.” The CEOs all know that the current regulatory structure, which they support, is big government at its worst: bureaucratic, unaccountable and ineffective. Thjavascript:;e CFPA will consolidate seven separate bureaucracies, cut down on paperwork, and promote understandable consumer products. In the process, it will stabilize the industry, rebuild confidence in the securitization market, and leave more money in the pockets of families. Complaining about short, readable contracts and efforts to slim down bureaucracy only further diminishes the banks’ credibility.

This generation of Wall Street CEOs could be the ones to forfeit America’s trust. When the history of the Great Recession is written, they can be singled out as the bonus babies who were so short-sighted that they put the economy at risk and contributed to the destruction of their own companies. Or they can acknowledge how Americans’ trust has been lost and take the first steps to earn it back.

Ms. Warren is a law professor at Harvard and is currently the chair of the TARP Congressional Oversight Panel.

Please, Take this editorial and let it multiply. Email it to all your friends, Post it on your Facebook page, use Twitter or whatever kind of social media network to give Warren’s contents a larger audience. Opposition to this is going to far larger than the obvious Shadow Banks & their lobbyists , but from within the White House to the wealthy right wing olliarghs who are threatend by individuathat dare to speak out like Elizabeth Warren. Warren is already headlining on the Huffington post and here.

The usual of Investors411 will return tomorrow – I’m spending the rest of the AM spreading Warren’s message

Barr

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May 12, 2009

Market Updates – Media’s Huge Bias

Author: Barr Jozwicki - Categories: Market Update - Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

WHAT’S UP? - Prisoner Journalists Roxana Saberi & Sami al Hajj; Media’s huge bias; Understanding why people really act as they do may be completely different from what you have been conditioned to believe; A sucker’s Wall St. Rally? Oil Prices gushing, & Shadow Banks.

AP photo of  Roxana Saberi

The Enormous Bias in the Media

Roxana Sabreri is the American/Iranian jounalist who was recently convicted of spying  in a secret trial trial in Iran. She was released yesterday and American media is understandably happy. It’s a major story and demonstrates many of the many of the injustices within Iran. The months she spent in jail in Iran were clearly unjustified.  This is something almost all of us in “civilized” countries are happy about.

——— 

But have you even heard of Prisoner # 345. – Sami al Hajj –

The rest of the world has


Al Jazeera photo of Sami al Hajj

Sami al Hajj - Is an Al Jazerra (#1 media outlet in Muslim world) cameraman who without a secret trial spent 2139 days or 6+  years imprisoned in Guantanamo Bay.  He called his treatment by American’s –  “worse than rats would be treated.” The entire Muslim world kept a vigil on Sami’s “cruel and barbaric” treatment by the US. He has been released and drew many pictures describing his captivity.
You wonder why so many Muslim’s hate us?
Why do so many Muslim’s become terrorists?
Take a look below at one of his sketches.

 We see ourselves painted by the light of American media bias. The Muslim world see a differently painted bias.

To create a solution and build a better future you have to at least understand why the other side takes the actions it does.

STOCKS

AS ALWAYS, DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING

Index Percentage % Volume
Dow -1.82% down
NASDQ -0.45% down
S&P500 -2.15% down
Russell2000 -1.93% -

-

Long Term Outlook

Quotes from Positions section of blog-  Fundamentals - The problem in the financial sector is far far far far far bigger than fist imagined. Impact of this mess is going to take years to resolve. Quote from Strategy section of blog - This is NOT your fathers buy and hold market

It is very feasible to see stocks rally as GDP rises from @-6% in the USA to perhaps 0%. However, the long term viability, after that concept is built into stock prices, is the major concern. The Upcoming War with Shadow Banks will be the first big test for the future. 

Is this a sucker’s rallyFrom the WSJ 


Technicals & Fundamentals

Major down day for most major markets except NASDQ.  Volume decreased and was below average. Therefore, volume did NOT confirm the price move. The NASDQ had a major loss with increased volume 3 trading days ago.  So far volume has not confirmed the losses on any major index including financials (see below & charts onside of blog)

Right now this looks like natural profit taking after a big run higher. I could develop into a reversal if volume increases.

XLF - The ETF that tracks financials (mostly shadow banks ) fell -5.84%in decreased below average volume.  Since the current rally began two months ago only 4 times have we had two down days in a row for financials.  So if today is another down day in, especially in light volume, short term traders might (day and swing traders) might see it as an opportunity to buy.

If Shadow Banks go up – so will stocks. If Shadow banks go down so will stocks – The mantra of the markets for the past two months continues.

WTIC charts “Light Crude Oil”.(see chart) Notice after Oil hit a low @$37 a barrel in Feb. it rose to a range between $48 and $54 for over a month and over a month ago it broke out and two days ago reached a high of almost $60. 

This breakout move above $54 has two sides two opposite sides (Bullish & Bearish) to it. 

  • Oil above $54 indicates that investors see a recovery in the future that can sustain higher oil prices
  • Higher oil prices hurt American consumers whose purchasing power are critical to the recovery.

What happens to Shadow Banks is still the dominant factor controlling what other stocks do. Investors411 has given the good,the bad and the ugly of the privatizing the gains and socializing the risk in Shadow Banks – The clear positive is the gainsonWall Street.

The upcoming war  - We have rapidly created an incredibly massive subsidy system for America’s Shadow Institutions – How do we disconnect from these wealthy welfare recipients?

Most likely senerio for week -  Consolidation or profit taking. Let Shadow banks be your guide.


Long Term Outlook = NEUTRAL

See Changes in STRATEGY, POSITIONS, & OVERVIEW sections of blog

AS ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE INVESTING !

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