Demonstration in world’s largest Islamic democracy/country Indonesia where they allow Christian, Buddhist and many other religious faiths to openly pratice. They also have a woman president & a stock market at a new high.

Burn the Koran?

Another  direct follow up to the fear mongering surrounding the Islamic Center in NYC is a pastor in Florida who is going to burn Korans on 9/11 – “It’s International Burn a Koran Day .” General Petraeus from BBC – “This act will endanger US troop.” It will also be  a recruitment mana (gift) from heaven for any Islamic radical that will be broadcast all over the world.

The trend is the growing use of fear mongering on an Islamophobic US public in political seasons. Far right politicians have pushed this issue from Palin to Beck and even some notable Democrats like Harry Reid. Obviously, this trend also benefits those that manufacture weapons

Globalization* & US Education

Why is American education falling or even failing relative to the rest of the world?

Capitalist want to make money. To make that money they needed an increasing educated/smarter workforce to solve problems and deal with technological innovation. Up to, say 1980, that workforce came from US education which major American companies supported.

Now, because of globalization, global American companies no longer have to invest in US education. They simply use use the cheaper educational workforce abroad. “They don’t even have to invest a penny.”

In fact, over the last three decades American capitalists have developed their own think tanks to directly challenge American universities and education system  like American Enterprise Institute and the Heritage Foundation.  For more James Kwak at the the Baseline Senerio

* Globalization is one of the key mega trends dominating the world economically. For more click on OVERVIEW at top of blog

Simply put, an Investors411 mantra and Kwak conclusion – “it is the interests of big corporations that determine government policy in the United States.”

KISS & Stocks (Keep It Simple Stupid)

If you don’t understand a term look in up at Investopedia.com dictionary


Index Percentage Volume
Dow +1.24% flat
NASDQ +1.53% down
S&P +1.32% down
Russell 2000 +1.76% -

Technicals, Fundamentals & Analysis

Investors411 record – 5 years of beating benchmark S&P 500

Mantra for the monthThe Black Box/High Frequency Traders BB/HFT control the majority of trades. Jim Cramer -”BB/HFT make up 80% of trades.”

Its natural for volume to rise after Labor Day weekend.

Housing problem has deeply worried many economists. It’s also become a political football two months before the election.  Back in 2008, Investors411′ mantra was & still is the financial meltdown has caused problems “far, far, far, far, far” worse that predicted.

The NASDQ has “gapped” higher 2 of the last 4 trading days at the open. 3 gap higher almost alway means markets are too overbought to continue the move.

Significant Indexes

  • The Dollar (USD) [Anything daily price move over +/- 0.50 is significant. Dollar moves inversely to stocks] The dollar, of course, fell  a -0.54% Friday.  Threatens to break down through support levels of three week long consolidation pattern. = Bullish
  • The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) [measures cost of world trade. Also proxy for China & emerging markets] Rose +1.45% Friday. A 5 week rally the BDI had flattened out. Now starting to rise again. = Bullish
  • McClellan Index – (MO) [The rough guideline is over +60 = overbought market = sell positions or short stocks, & -60 = oversold market = buy stocks.] MO rose to +48.06 Friday Momentum obviously with bulls, but we are reaching overbought territory. The MO did spend one day above +9o in late July, but over the last year  the other 4 highs were from + 60 to +80. Therefore running out of room for stocks to move higher = Neutral/Bearish

Reading Tea Leaves

Emerging Markets are on a roll (see POSITIONS Section of blog for corresponding ETF’s) Almost all are relatively outperforming US indexes EWS (Singapore is almost at new yearly high, IFN (India),TUR (Turkey, & EIOD (Indonesia did close at highs. The BDI’s rally is confirmation or a forecast of the positive fundamental growth story of these countries.

US Sock Indexes are being driven higher by a weaker dollar which could break down through its support level today. But we are running out of upside “wiggle room” and almost overbought. There’s only 12 points between current MO at +48 and over bought conditions are +60.

Therefore its time to start thinking about taking profits on long positions in a major rally.  If/when we reach +60 or +80 I will be using the short ETF’s in a rally. (See POSITIONS section at top of blog for more)

Fundamental overview of world Economy.

The obvious sub trend brought about by globalization is the economic deterioration of the US & Europe economically  vs the economic rise of emerging markets and energy rich countries (peak oil mega trend – see Overview section of blog).

Will the emerging markets grow fast enough to pull the USA & Europe out of the Great Recession?


The  Positions Section link to latest & former buys and sells  - These are positions I actually own

Current positions –  EWS (Singapore)

We are coming closer to the time to take profits or consider short ETF’s

Long Term Outlook – NEUTRAL


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